Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily maximum near 95°F in Houston on August 12, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies with dew points in the mid-70s. These conditions favor peak temperatures in the 94–97°F range, consistent with mid-August climatology where the long-term average high reaches 95°F. Traders have priced the 94–95°F bin highest at 49.5% because recent short-range forecasts show limited cloud cover or precipitation to moderate heating, while the 96–97°F outcome at 34% captures upside risk from any delayed sea-breeze or model warm bias. Uncertainty remains low given the short forecast horizon and stable synoptic pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Houston il 12 agosto?
94-95°F 50%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 10%
98-99°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
83°F o inferiore
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
3%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
50%
96-97°F
34%
98-99°F
6%
100-101°F
1%
102°F o superiore
<1%
94-95°F 50%
96-97°F 34%
92-93°F 10%
98-99°F 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
83°F o inferiore
$438 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$340 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$226 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$132 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$424 Vol.
3%
92-93°F
$182 Vol.
10%
94-95°F
$1,096 Vol.
50%
96-97°F
$587 Vol.
34%
98-99°F
$310 Vol.
6%
100-101°F
$293 Vol.
1%
102°F o superiore
$177 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily maximum near 95°F in Houston on August 12, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies with dew points in the mid-70s. These conditions favor peak temperatures in the 94–97°F range, consistent with mid-August climatology where the long-term average high reaches 95°F. Traders have priced the 94–95°F bin highest at 49.5% because recent short-range forecasts show limited cloud cover or precipitation to moderate heating, while the 96–97°F outcome at 34% captures upside risk from any delayed sea-breeze or model warm bias. Uncertainty remains low given the short forecast horizon and stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$4,205Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily maximum near 95°F in Houston on August 12, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies with dew points in the mid-70s. These conditions favor peak temperatures in the 94–97°F range, consistent with mid-August climatology where the long-term average high reaches 95°F. Traders have priced the 94–95°F bin highest at 49.5% because recent short-range forecasts show limited cloud cover or precipitation to moderate heating, while the 96–97°F outcome at 34% captures upside risk from any delayed sea-breeze or model warm bias. Uncertainty remains low given the short forecast horizon and stable synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,205Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a daily maximum near 95°F in Houston on August 12, driven by persistent high pressure, light southerly flow, and strong daytime heating under mostly clear skies with dew points in the mid-70s. These conditions favor peak temperatures in the 94–97°F range, consistent with mid-August climatology where the long-term average high reaches 95°F. Traders have priced the 94–95°F bin highest at 49.5% because recent short-range forecasts show limited cloud cover or precipitation to moderate heating, while the 96–97°F outcome at 34% captures upside risk from any delayed sea-breeze or model warm bias. Uncertainty remains low given the short forecast horizon and stable synoptic pattern.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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