Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a Houston high temperature near 97–99°F on August 2, with the leading market bins reflecting subtle differences in daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and typical urban heat-island enhancement. Key variables include boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or amplify maximum readings by 1–2°F, and any late-day sea-breeze convergence that may limit peak values. Historical early-August climatology shows median highs of 95–96°F, so current consensus implies modestly above-average conditions driven by persistent subtropical ridging. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will refine the exact bin, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction can move the outcome between the closely matched 96–99°F ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Houston il 2 agosto?
98-99°F 41%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 16%
94-95°F 9%
91°F o inferiore
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F o superiore
<1%
98-99°F 41%
96-97°F 32%
100-101°F 16%
94-95°F 9%
91°F o inferiore
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
9%
96-97°F
32%
98-99°F
41%
100-101°F
16%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
1%
110°F o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs point to a Houston high temperature near 97–99°F on August 2, with the leading market bins reflecting subtle differences in daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and typical urban heat-island enhancement. Key variables include boundary-layer moisture, which can suppress or amplify maximum readings by 1–2°F, and any late-day sea-breeze convergence that may limit peak values. Historical early-August climatology shows median highs of 95–96°F, so current consensus implies modestly above-average conditions driven by persistent subtropical ridging. Updated model cycles and afternoon observations will refine the exact bin, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind direction can move the outcome between the closely matched 96–99°F ranges.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato


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