Strong model consensus from sources including AccuWeather, Timeanddate, and the Met Office projects Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 17 to reach 32–34°C, driven by persistent summer warmth and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns over Shandong. Mid-August climatology supports daily highs near 31°C, with current conditions showing no major cooling influences such as widespread cloud cover or frontal passages. This places the 26°C-or-higher outcome at overwhelming market-implied odds near 97.5%. Forecaster uncertainty remains modest but could rise if new China Meteorological Administration runs introduce unexpected precipitation or stronger northerly flow, scenarios that historically occur only with rapid model shifts within 24 hours of the event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Jinan il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Jinan il 17 agosto?
26°C or higher 98%
24°C 19%
25°C 15%
19°C 5.8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
16°C or below
5%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
2%
24°C
19%
25°C
15%
26°C or higher
98%
26°C or higher 98%
24°C 19%
25°C 15%
19°C 5.8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 ago 2026
16°C or below
$6 Vol.
5%
17°C
$6 Vol.
4%
18°C
$6 Vol.
3%
19°C
$6 Vol.
6%
20°C
$6 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5 Vol.
19%
25°C
$5 Vol.
15%
26°C or higher
$485 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources including AccuWeather, Timeanddate, and the Met Office projects Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 17 to reach 32–34°C, driven by persistent summer warmth and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns over Shandong. Mid-August climatology supports daily highs near 31°C, with current conditions showing no major cooling influences such as widespread cloud cover or frontal passages. This places the 26°C-or-higher outcome at overwhelming market-implied odds near 97.5%. Forecaster uncertainty remains modest but could rise if new China Meteorological Administration runs introduce unexpected precipitation or stronger northerly flow, scenarios that historically occur only with rapid model shifts within 24 hours of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$540Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus from sources including AccuWeather, Timeanddate, and the Met Office projects Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 17 to reach 32–34°C, driven by persistent summer warmth and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns over Shandong. Mid-August climatology supports daily highs near 31°C, with current conditions showing no major cooling influences such as widespread cloud cover or frontal passages. This places the 26°C-or-higher outcome at overwhelming market-implied odds near 97.5%. Forecaster uncertainty remains modest but could rise if new China Meteorological Administration runs introduce unexpected precipitation or stronger northerly flow, scenarios that historically occur only with rapid model shifts within 24 hours of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$540Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong model consensus from sources including AccuWeather, Timeanddate, and the Met Office projects Jinan’s maximum temperature on August 17 to reach 32–34°C, driven by persistent summer warmth and typical subtropical high-pressure patterns over Shandong. Mid-August climatology supports daily highs near 31°C, with current conditions showing no major cooling influences such as widespread cloud cover or frontal passages. This places the 26°C-or-higher outcome at overwhelming market-implied odds near 97.5%. Forecaster uncertainty remains modest but could rise if new China Meteorological Administration runs introduce unexpected precipitation or stronger northerly flow, scenarios that historically occur only with rapid model shifts within 24 hours of the event.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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