PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 32–33°C with only a 10% chance of rain under partly cloudy skies as the southwest monsoon begins. This aligns with climatological averages for early June, when highs typically reach 31–33°C amid rising humidity and increasing cloud cover that curbs extreme heating. Recent model consensus and historical observations from NAIA show limited potential for 34°C or higher without clear, stable conditions, which current patterns do not support. Trader positioning at 88.5% implied probability for 33°C reflects these stable atmospheric factors, with minimal odds on outliers given the narrow forecast range and typical monsoon moderation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Manila on June 11?
Highest temperature in Manila on June 11?
33°C 98.5%
34°C 7%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$23,062 Vol.
$23,062 Vol.
11 giu 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
99%
34°C
7%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 98.5%
34°C 7%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$23,062 Vol.
$23,062 Vol.
11 giu 2026
28°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,045 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$3,972 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$3,325 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$4,674 Vol.
99%
34°C
$2,599 Vol.
7%
35°C
$2,924 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$3,390 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,201 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$517 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 32–33°C with only a 10% chance of rain under partly cloudy skies as the southwest monsoon begins. This aligns with climatological averages for early June, when highs typically reach 31–33°C amid rising humidity and increasing cloud cover that curbs extreme heating. Recent model consensus and historical observations from NAIA show limited potential for 34°C or higher without clear, stable conditions, which current patterns do not support. Trader positioning at 88.5% implied probability for 33°C reflects these stable atmospheric factors, with minimal odds on outliers given the narrow forecast range and typical monsoon moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$23,062Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 32–33°C with only a 10% chance of rain under partly cloudy skies as the southwest monsoon begins. This aligns with climatological averages for early June, when highs typically reach 31–33°C amid rising humidity and increasing cloud cover that curbs extreme heating. Recent model consensus and historical observations from NAIA show limited potential for 34°C or higher without clear, stable conditions, which current patterns do not support. Trader positioning at 88.5% implied probability for 33°C reflects these stable atmospheric factors, with minimal odds on outliers given the narrow forecast range and typical monsoon moderation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,062Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 11, 2026, indicate a daytime high near 32–33°C with only a 10% chance of rain under partly cloudy skies as the southwest monsoon begins. This aligns with climatological averages for early June, when highs typically reach 31–33°C amid rising humidity and increasing cloud cover that curbs extreme heating. Recent model consensus and historical observations from NAIA show limited potential for 34°C or higher without clear, stable conditions, which current patterns do not support. Trader positioning at 88.5% implied probability for 33°C reflects these stable atmospheric factors, with minimal odds on outliers given the narrow forecast range and typical monsoon moderation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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