**Current forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international guidance place Mexico City’s daily maximum near 25–27°C on August 16, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C outcome (55.5%).** At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland climate keeps August highs modest even during the rainy season, when afternoon cloud cover, showers, and evaporative cooling frequently cap temperatures. Recent model runs show typical monsoon patterns with scattered convection and northerly flow, limiting strong solar heating while historical August averages hover around 24–26°C. The tight clustering of probabilities on 25–27°C reflects trader consensus on these moderating influences, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions or anomalous warmth on this date. Updated NHC and regional guidance will refine timing of any late-day storms that could further suppress the peak reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 16 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 16 agosto?
26°C 56%
27°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
19%
26°C
56%
27°C
21%
28°C
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 56%
27°C 21%
25°C 19%
24°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
16 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
$20 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$658 Vol.
1%
24°C
$471 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,284 Vol.
19%
26°C
$748 Vol.
56%
27°C
$1,812 Vol.
21%
28°C
$329 Vol.
2%
29°C
$190 Vol.
1%
30°C
$300 Vol.
1%
31°C o superiore
$380 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international guidance place Mexico City’s daily maximum near 25–27°C on August 16, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C outcome (55.5%).** At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland climate keeps August highs modest even during the rainy season, when afternoon cloud cover, showers, and evaporative cooling frequently cap temperatures. Recent model runs show typical monsoon patterns with scattered convection and northerly flow, limiting strong solar heating while historical August averages hover around 24–26°C. The tight clustering of probabilities on 25–27°C reflects trader consensus on these moderating influences, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions or anomalous warmth on this date. Updated NHC and regional guidance will refine timing of any late-day storms that could further suppress the peak reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,211Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international guidance place Mexico City’s daily maximum near 25–27°C on August 16, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C outcome (55.5%).** At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland climate keeps August highs modest even during the rainy season, when afternoon cloud cover, showers, and evaporative cooling frequently cap temperatures. Recent model runs show typical monsoon patterns with scattered convection and northerly flow, limiting strong solar heating while historical August averages hover around 24–26°C. The tight clustering of probabilities on 25–27°C reflects trader consensus on these moderating influences, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions or anomalous warmth on this date. Updated NHC and regional guidance will refine timing of any late-day storms that could further suppress the peak reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,211Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international guidance place Mexico City’s daily maximum near 25–27°C on August 16, 2026, aligning with the market’s leading 26°C outcome (55.5%).** At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s highland climate keeps August highs modest even during the rainy season, when afternoon cloud cover, showers, and evaporative cooling frequently cap temperatures. Recent model runs show typical monsoon patterns with scattered convection and northerly flow, limiting strong solar heating while historical August averages hover around 24–26°C. The tight clustering of probabilities on 25–27°C reflects trader consensus on these moderating influences, with lower odds on extremes reflecting the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions or anomalous warmth on this date. Updated NHC and regional guidance will refine timing of any late-day storms that could further suppress the peak reading.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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