Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Miami's August 12 high will hinge on afternoon thunderstorm timing and Atlantic sea-breeze strength, with current forecasts centering on 91–93°F under partly cloudy skies. Persistent high pressure and elevated moisture support heat indices near 105–110°F, yet scattered convection could cap readings at 92–93°F while clearer periods allow a brief push toward 94–95°F. Historical August averages near 89–90°F provide context, but the 2026 warm anomaly and low wind shear keep the market split almost evenly between those two bins, with only modest probability on 96°F-plus outcomes. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Miami il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Miami il 12 agosto?
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 42%
96-97°F 8%
90-91°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
83°F o inferiore
<1%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
46%
94-95°F
42%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102°F o superiore
<1%
92-93°F 46%
94-95°F 42%
96-97°F 8%
90-91°F 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
83°F o inferiore
$438 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$473 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$158 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$287 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$686 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$1,203 Vol.
46%
94-95°F
$1,403 Vol.
42%
96-97°F
$382 Vol.
8%
98-99°F
$104 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$222 Vol.
<1%
102°F o superiore
$200 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Miami's August 12 high will hinge on afternoon thunderstorm timing and Atlantic sea-breeze strength, with current forecasts centering on 91–93°F under partly cloudy skies. Persistent high pressure and elevated moisture support heat indices near 105–110°F, yet scattered convection could cap readings at 92–93°F while clearer periods allow a brief push toward 94–95°F. Historical August averages near 89–90°F provide context, but the 2026 warm anomaly and low wind shear keep the market split almost evenly between those two bins, with only modest probability on 96°F-plus outcomes. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,558Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Miami's August 12 high will hinge on afternoon thunderstorm timing and Atlantic sea-breeze strength, with current forecasts centering on 91–93°F under partly cloudy skies. Persistent high pressure and elevated moisture support heat indices near 105–110°F, yet scattered convection could cap readings at 92–93°F while clearer periods allow a brief push toward 94–95°F. Historical August averages near 89–90°F provide context, but the 2026 warm anomaly and low wind shear keep the market split almost evenly between those two bins, with only modest probability on 96°F-plus outcomes. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,558Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Miami's August 12 high will hinge on afternoon thunderstorm timing and Atlantic sea-breeze strength, with current forecasts centering on 91–93°F under partly cloudy skies. Persistent high pressure and elevated moisture support heat indices near 105–110°F, yet scattered convection could cap readings at 92–93°F while clearer periods allow a brief push toward 94–95°F. Historical August averages near 89–90°F provide context, but the 2026 warm anomaly and low wind shear keep the market split almost evenly between those two bins, with only modest probability on 96°F-plus outcomes. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will sharpen resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum observation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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