Latest numerical weather prediction runs from models including GFS and regional ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 27–29 °C in Munich on September 7 under partly cloudy conditions with only scattered shower chances below 20 %. This range sits well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21 °C and reflects warm-air advection ahead of a weak front, with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing strong insolation. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting trader concentration on the 27 °C and 28 °C contracts at 37 % and 25 % implied probability. Updated high-resolution guidance and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will be the key data releases likely to shift these market-implied odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 7 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 7 settembre?
27°C 38%
28°C 26%
29°C 16%
26°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
16%
27°C
38%
28°C
26%
29°C
16%
30°C
6%
31°C o superiore
4%
27°C 38%
28°C 26%
29°C 16%
26°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
21°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$0 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C
$0 Vol.
7%
26°C
$230 Vol.
16%
27°C
$162 Vol.
38%
28°C
$220 Vol.
26%
29°C
$102 Vol.
16%
30°C
$0 Vol.
6%
31°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from models including GFS and regional ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 27–29 °C in Munich on September 7 under partly cloudy conditions with only scattered shower chances below 20 %. This range sits well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21 °C and reflects warm-air advection ahead of a weak front, with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing strong insolation. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting trader concentration on the 27 °C and 28 °C contracts at 37 % and 25 % implied probability. Updated high-resolution guidance and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will be the key data releases likely to shift these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$714Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction runs from models including GFS and regional ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 27–29 °C in Munich on September 7 under partly cloudy conditions with only scattered shower chances below 20 %. This range sits well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21 °C and reflects warm-air advection ahead of a weak front, with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing strong insolation. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting trader concentration on the 27 °C and 28 °C contracts at 37 % and 25 % implied probability. Updated high-resolution guidance and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will be the key data releases likely to shift these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$714Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from models including GFS and regional ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 27–29 °C in Munich on September 7 under partly cloudy conditions with only scattered shower chances below 20 %. This range sits well above the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 21 °C and reflects warm-air advection ahead of a weak front, with light southerly flow and limited cloud cover allowing strong insolation. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting trader concentration on the 27 °C and 28 °C contracts at 37 % and 25 % implied probability. Updated high-resolution guidance and any late adjustments to boundary-layer mixing will be the key data releases likely to shift these market-implied odds before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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