Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak of 30°C in Qingdao on June 11 under hazy sunshine and moderate southerly flow, aligning with observed midday readings near 29–30°C and seasonal norms for early June coastal Shandong. This positions the 30°C bracket at overwhelming market-implied odds near 99 percent, reflecting trader confidence in verified maximums from official stations. Uncertainties such as localized cloud cover, wind shifts, or minor model revisions could still push readings to 31°C or drop them below 30°C, though recent data releases show limited divergence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
30°C 98.8%
31°C or higher 1.1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$27,084 Vol.
$27,084 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
99%
31°C or higher
1%
30°C 98.8%
31°C or higher 1.1%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
$27,084 Vol.
$27,084 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
99%
31°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak of 30°C in Qingdao on June 11 under hazy sunshine and moderate southerly flow, aligning with observed midday readings near 29–30°C and seasonal norms for early June coastal Shandong. This positions the 30°C bracket at overwhelming market-implied odds near 99 percent, reflecting trader confidence in verified maximums from official stations. Uncertainties such as localized cloud cover, wind shifts, or minor model revisions could still push readings to 31°C or drop them below 30°C, though recent data releases show limited divergence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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