Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 1, position a peak high of 31–33°C for Tel Aviv on September 3 under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This consensus aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, when daily maxima average near 30°C, supporting the market's strong preference for 32°C at 67.5% implied probability. Minor model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing but show no signals for extremes above 34°C or below 30°C. Traders are monitoring the next Israel Meteorological Service update and final ensemble outputs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 3 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 3 settembre?
32°C 68%
33°C 19%
31°C 13%
30°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
13%
32°C
68%
33°C
19%
34°C
2%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 68%
33°C 19%
31°C 13%
30°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 set 2026
29°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
30°C
$274 Vol.
3%
31°C
$140 Vol.
13%
32°C
$393 Vol.
68%
33°C
$168 Vol.
19%
34°C
$27 Vol.
2%
35°C
$5 Vol.
2%
36°C
$179 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$233 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$306 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$306 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 1, position a peak high of 31–33°C for Tel Aviv on September 3 under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This consensus aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, when daily maxima average near 30°C, supporting the market's strong preference for 32°C at 67.5% implied probability. Minor model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing but show no signals for extremes above 34°C or below 30°C. Traders are monitoring the next Israel Meteorological Service update and final ensemble outputs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,037Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 1, position a peak high of 31–33°C for Tel Aviv on September 3 under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This consensus aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, when daily maxima average near 30°C, supporting the market's strong preference for 32°C at 67.5% implied probability. Minor model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing but show no signals for extremes above 34°C or below 30°C. Traders are monitoring the next Israel Meteorological Service update and final ensemble outputs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,037Data di fine
3 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple models, including GFS and ECMWF runs as of September 1, position a peak high of 31–33°C for Tel Aviv on September 3 under stable high-pressure conditions with light westerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This consensus aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, when daily maxima average near 30°C, supporting the market's strong preference for 32°C at 67.5% implied probability. Minor model spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing but show no signals for extremes above 34°C or below 30°C. Traders are monitoring the next Israel Meteorological Service update and final ensemble outputs for any shifts in the 48-hour window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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