Trader consensus favors a 25°C high in Zhengzhou on September 10 at 28% implied probability, driven by the latest ensemble runs from global and regional models showing typical early-autumn conditions over the North China Plain. Key variables include daytime cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that cap radiative heating, alongside prevailing northeasterly flow that limits warm advection from the south. Lower outcomes around 23–24°C gain traction if thicker stratus or precipitation develops, while probabilities drop sharply above 26°C absent stronger subsidence or clear-sky enhancement. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and fresh model cycles tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Zhengzhou il 10 settembre?
25°C 30%
24°C 19%
23°C 16%
26°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
30%
26°C
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
25°C 30%
24°C 19%
23°C 16%
26°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$7 Vol.
10%
24°C
$7 Vol.
10%
25°C
$7 Vol.
30%
26°C
$0 Vol.
4%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 25°C high in Zhengzhou on September 10 at 28% implied probability, driven by the latest ensemble runs from global and regional models showing typical early-autumn conditions over the North China Plain. Key variables include daytime cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that cap radiative heating, alongside prevailing northeasterly flow that limits warm advection from the south. Lower outcomes around 23–24°C gain traction if thicker stratus or precipitation develops, while probabilities drop sharply above 26°C absent stronger subsidence or clear-sky enhancement. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and fresh model cycles tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$21Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors a 25°C high in Zhengzhou on September 10 at 28% implied probability, driven by the latest ensemble runs from global and regional models showing typical early-autumn conditions over the North China Plain. Key variables include daytime cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that cap radiative heating, alongside prevailing northeasterly flow that limits warm advection from the south. Lower outcomes around 23–24°C gain traction if thicker stratus or precipitation develops, while probabilities drop sharply above 26°C absent stronger subsidence or clear-sky enhancement. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and fresh model cycles tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 25°C high in Zhengzhou on September 10 at 28% implied probability, driven by the latest ensemble runs from global and regional models showing typical early-autumn conditions over the North China Plain. Key variables include daytime cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that cap radiative heating, alongside prevailing northeasterly flow that limits warm advection from the south. Lower outcomes around 23–24°C gain traction if thicker stratus or precipitation develops, while probabilities drop sharply above 26°C absent stronger subsidence or clear-sky enhancement. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration and fresh model cycles tonight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti