Recent escalation in Middle East tensions has driven oil prices near $90–95 per barrel, reviving inflation concerns and lifting the 10-year Treasury yield to intraday highs of 4.818% on September 1–2, the highest since late 2023. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and Governor Michael Barr, who indicated openness to a September rate hike if inflation fails to moderate, have shifted market-implied odds of a 25 basis point increase at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting to approximately 64–66%. Traders are also digesting mixed employment data, including a soft ADP August report, alongside fiscal deficit worries and elevated Treasury supply. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 nonfarm payrolls, September 10–11 CPI and PPI releases, and the FOMC decision itself, which will shape the yield path for the remainder of the month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
30 set 2026
5,10%
50%
5,05%
50%
5,00%
50%
4,97%
50%
4,94%
50%
4,91%
50%
4,88%
50%
4,85%
50%
4,82%
50%
$0.00 Vol.
5,10%
$0 Vol.
50%
5,05%
$0 Vol.
50%
5,00%
$0 Vol.
50%
4,97%
$0 Vol.
50%
4,94%
$0 Vol.
50%
4,91%
$0 Vol.
50%
4,88%
$0 Vol.
50%
4,85%
$0 Vol.
50%
4,82%
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent escalation in Middle East tensions has driven oil prices near $90–95 per barrel, reviving inflation concerns and lifting the 10-year Treasury yield to intraday highs of 4.818% on September 1–2, the highest since late 2023. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and Governor Michael Barr, who indicated openness to a September rate hike if inflation fails to moderate, have shifted market-implied odds of a 25 basis point increase at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting to approximately 64–66%. Traders are also digesting mixed employment data, including a soft ADP August report, alongside fiscal deficit worries and elevated Treasury supply. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 nonfarm payrolls, September 10–11 CPI and PPI releases, and the FOMC decision itself, which will shape the yield path for the remainder of the month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).Recent escalation in Middle East tensions has driven oil prices near $90–95 per barrel, reviving inflation concerns and lifting the 10-year Treasury yield to intraday highs of 4.818% on September 1–2, the highest since late 2023. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and Governor Michael Barr, who indicated openness to a September rate hike if inflation fails to moderate, have shifted market-implied odds of a 25 basis point increase at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting to approximately 64–66%. Traders are also digesting mixed employment data, including a soft ADP August report, alongside fiscal deficit worries and elevated Treasury supply. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 nonfarm payrolls, September 10–11 CPI and PPI releases, and the FOMC decision itself, which will shape the yield path for the remainder of the month.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Volume
$0Data di fine
30 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Recent escalation in Middle East tensions has driven oil prices near $90–95 per barrel, reviving inflation concerns and lifting the 10-year Treasury yield to intraday highs of 4.818% on September 1–2, the highest since late 2023. Hawkish signals from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole and Governor Michael Barr, who indicated openness to a September rate hike if inflation fails to moderate, have shifted market-implied odds of a 25 basis point increase at the September 15–16 FOMC meeting to approximately 64–66%. Traders are also digesting mixed employment data, including a soft ADP August report, alongside fiscal deficit worries and elevated Treasury supply. Key near-term catalysts include the September 4 nonfarm payrolls, September 10–11 CPI and PPI releases, and the FOMC decision itself, which will shape the yield path for the remainder of the month.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti