Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries an R+13 partisan voting index, features rural and suburban counties that have delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and saw Yakym win his May 2026 primary without opposition. Democratic nominee Jamee Decio emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated ballot outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major national political shift, unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in South Bend, though none have materialized to date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIN-02 House Election Winner
IN-02 House Election Winner
$31,212 Vol.
$31,212 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$31,212 Vol.
$31,212 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$23,910 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$7,302 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries an R+13 partisan voting index, features rural and suburban counties that have delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and saw Yakym win his May 2026 primary without opposition. Democratic nominee Jamee Decio emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated ballot outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major national political shift, unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in South Bend, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$31,212Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries an R+13 partisan voting index, features rural and suburban counties that have delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and saw Yakym win his May 2026 primary without opposition. Democratic nominee Jamee Decio emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated ballot outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major national political shift, unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in South Bend, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$31,212Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rudy Yakym holds a commanding position in Indiana’s 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat carries an R+13 partisan voting index, features rural and suburban counties that have delivered consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles, and saw Yakym win his May 2026 primary without opposition. Democratic nominee Jamee Decio emerged from a low-turnout primary but faces structural headwinds in a district where Republican candidates have dominated ballot outcomes. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe Republican. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a major national political shift, unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout in South Bend, though none have materialized to date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti