Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, remain the central driver behind the near-even odds on whether Iran will publicly agree to end uranium enrichment by December 31. Iran has offered to discuss temporary pauses of up to 20 years, downblending or transferring its stockpile of highly enriched uranium, and IAEA verification while rejecting demands to dismantle facilities or permanently forgo enrichment rights. These positions, coupled with U.S. insistence on stronger permanent limits following earlier military strikes on Iranian sites, keep the outcome closely contested. Further rounds of talks or formal responses to recent proposals could shift sentiment if they produce concrete commitments or expose irreconcilable gaps on verification and sanctions relief.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$194,984 Vol.
$194,984 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sì
$194,984 Vol.
$194,984 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, remain the central driver behind the near-even odds on whether Iran will publicly agree to end uranium enrichment by December 31. Iran has offered to discuss temporary pauses of up to 20 years, downblending or transferring its stockpile of highly enriched uranium, and IAEA verification while rejecting demands to dismantle facilities or permanently forgo enrichment rights. These positions, coupled with U.S. insistence on stronger permanent limits following earlier military strikes on Iranian sites, keep the outcome closely contested. Further rounds of talks or formal responses to recent proposals could shift sentiment if they produce concrete commitments or expose irreconcilable gaps on verification and sanctions relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
Volume
$194,984Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, remain the central driver behind the near-even odds on whether Iran will publicly agree to end uranium enrichment by December 31. Iran has offered to discuss temporary pauses of up to 20 years, downblending or transferring its stockpile of highly enriched uranium, and IAEA verification while rejecting demands to dismantle facilities or permanently forgo enrichment rights. These positions, coupled with U.S. insistence on stronger permanent limits following earlier military strikes on Iranian sites, keep the outcome closely contested. Further rounds of talks or formal responses to recent proposals could shift sentiment if they produce concrete commitments or expose irreconcilable gaps on verification and sanctions relief.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$194,984Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, remain the central driver behind the near-even odds on whether Iran will publicly agree to end uranium enrichment by December 31. Iran has offered to discuss temporary pauses of up to 20 years, downblending or transferring its stockpile of highly enriched uranium, and IAEA verification while rejecting demands to dismantle facilities or permanently forgo enrichment rights. These positions, coupled with U.S. insistence on stronger permanent limits following earlier military strikes on Iranian sites, keep the outcome closely contested. Further rounds of talks or formal responses to recent proposals could shift sentiment if they produce concrete commitments or expose irreconcilable gaps on verification and sanctions relief.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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