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icon for Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?
Politica·Medio Oriente

Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?

icon for Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?
Politica·Medio Oriente

Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?

$565,926 Vol.

31 dic 2026
Polymarket

$565,926 Vol.

Polymarket

30 giugno

$459,604 Vol.

1%

July 31

$63,696 Vol.

9%

December 31

$41,743 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces remain positioned north of the Litani River in southern Lebanon following ground advances confirmed by Prime Minister Netanyahu in late May 2026, expanding a buffer zone established earlier in the 2026 Lebanon war. Ceasefire extensions and U.S.-brokered talks in June produced agreements on “pilot zones” for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah withdrawal north of the river, yet Israeli officials have stated troops will stay in security areas without a fixed timeline until threats are eliminated. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations have linked any broader deal to Israeli withdrawal, a condition rejected by Israel, while sporadic strikes continue amid partial returns of displaced civilians. UNIFIL’s mandate ends in December 2026, adding pressure on implementation of Resolution 1701. These factors shape trader views on whether diplomatic or military timelines will produce a verified pullback by the market’s resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$565,926
Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli forces remain positioned north of the Litani River in southern Lebanon following ground advances confirmed by Prime Minister Netanyahu in late May 2026, expanding a buffer zone established earlier in the 2026 Lebanon war. Ceasefire extensions and U.S.-brokered talks in June produced agreements on “pilot zones” for Lebanese Armed Forces deployment and Hezbollah withdrawal north of the river, yet Israeli officials have stated troops will stay in security areas without a fixed timeline until threats are eliminated. Recent U.S.-Iran negotiations have linked any broader deal to Israeli withdrawal, a condition rejected by Israel, while sporadic strikes continue amid partial returns of displaced civilians. UNIFIL’s mandate ends in December 2026, adding pressure on implementation of Resolution 1701. These factors shape trader views on whether diplomatic or military timelines will produce a verified pullback by the market’s resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$565,926
Mercato aperto
Jun 22, 2026, 9:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.

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Domande frequenti

"Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 4 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "December 31" a 49%, seguito da "July 31" a 9%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 49¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 49% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?" ha generato $565.9K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Jun 7, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?", esplora i 4 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?" è "December 31" a 49%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 49% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "July 31" a 9%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Le forze israeliane si ritirano da oltre il fiume Litani entro...?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.