Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, GFS-based models, and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 26 most likely between 15–17°C, driven by easterly advection of milder continental air and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows are projected near 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and a chance of showers, warmer than the late-August climatological average of about 13°C. Model consensus supports this range, though slight variations in cloud timing or precipitation could shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated runs from major agencies in the next 48 hours will further refine trader-implied probabilities centered on 15–17°C outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 26 agosto?
16°C 46%
15°C 32%
17°C 23%
12°C or below 16%
12°C or below
16%
13°C
8%
14°C
11%
15°C
32%
16°C
46%
17°C
23%
18°C
9%
19°C
15%
20°C
14%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
3%
16°C 46%
15°C 32%
17°C 23%
12°C or below 16%
12°C or below
16%
13°C
8%
14°C
11%
15°C
32%
16°C
46%
17°C
23%
18°C
9%
19°C
15%
20°C
14%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from sources including the Met Office, GFS-based models, and European ensembles indicate a minimum temperature in Amsterdam on August 26 most likely between 15–17°C, driven by easterly advection of milder continental air and increasing cloud cover that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Overnight lows are projected near 16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds and a chance of showers, warmer than the late-August climatological average of about 13°C. Model consensus supports this range, though slight variations in cloud timing or precipitation could shift the low by 1–2°C. Updated runs from major agencies in the next 48 hours will further refine trader-implied probabilities centered on 15–17°C outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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