Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a Saturday minimum in Amsterdam near 16–17°C, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder Atlantic air, moderate winds of 15–23 km/h, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under increased cloud cover. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes, as small differences in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. August 2026 has run 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~12–13°C for late August, yet the current pattern shows cooling relative to mid-month peaks, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical two-day forecast uncertainty in marine-influenced regimes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Amsterdam il 29 agosto?
18°C 37%
16°C 29%
17°C 27%
15°C 26%
12°C or below
10%
13°C
18%
14°C
23%
15°C
26%
16°C
29%
17°C
27%
18°C
37%
19°C
17%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
10%
18°C 37%
16°C 29%
17°C 27%
15°C 26%
12°C or below
10%
13°C
18%
14°C
23%
15°C
26%
16°C
29%
17°C
27%
18°C
37%
19°C
17%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 27, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a Saturday minimum in Amsterdam near 16–17°C, driven by southwesterly flow advecting milder Atlantic air, moderate winds of 15–23 km/h, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling under increased cloud cover. This setup aligns with the market’s tight clustering around 15–17°C outcomes, as small differences in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture can shift the overnight low by 1–2°C. August 2026 has run 1–2°C above the 1991–2020 climatological average low of ~12–13°C for late August, yet the current pattern shows cooling relative to mid-month peaks, with ensemble spreads reflecting typical two-day forecast uncertainty in marine-influenced regimes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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