**Persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds are keeping overnight radiative cooling limited in Amsterdam, producing forecast minimum temperatures clustered between 15–18°C.** Official guidance from sources including the Met Office and European models shows nighttime lows near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies with showers, while clearer intervals could allow brief dips toward 15°C and stronger mixing or residual warmth could hold the floor at 17–18°C. This narrow range explains the near-even market-implied probabilities across 15–18°C outcomes. Traders are monitoring the latest model runs and real-time observations from Schiphol, where the official minimum will be recorded, as any shift in precipitation timing or cloud breaks could tip the final reading by 1–2°C.