Current short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Amsterdam’s overnight low on September 1 near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. A surface high near 1020 hPa limits cloud cover and radiative cooling while maritime air keeps temperatures above seasonal norms. Historical Schiphol data show September 1 lows averaging 12.3 °C, so the present mild pattern slightly favors the upper side of that range. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are weighting the latest 00Z–12Z model cycles, where small shifts in wind speed or nocturnal cloud thickness can move the minimum between 13 °C and 15 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Amsterdam il 1° settembre?
15°C 29%
17°C 28%
14°C 27%
16°C 27%
10°C or below
3%
11°C
10%
12°C
19%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
29%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
22%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
16%
15°C 29%
17°C 28%
14°C 27%
16°C 27%
10°C or below
3%
11°C
10%
12°C
19%
13°C
22%
14°C
27%
15°C
29%
16°C
27%
17°C
28%
18°C
22%
19°C
8%
20°C or higher
16%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs places Amsterdam’s overnight low on September 1 near 13–14 °C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow. A surface high near 1020 hPa limits cloud cover and radiative cooling while maritime air keeps temperatures above seasonal norms. Historical Schiphol data show September 1 lows averaging 12.3 °C, so the present mild pattern slightly favors the upper side of that range. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders are weighting the latest 00Z–12Z model cycles, where small shifts in wind speed or nocturnal cloud thickness can move the minimum between 13 °C and 15 °C.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti