**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's September 12 lowest temperature reflects tight clustering around 18–21°C, driven by official forecast consensus from models such as GFS showing overnight lows near 18–20°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow.** A sunny daytime high near 29°C allowed efficient radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points and light winds limiting further drops. Historical September climatology places typical minimums around 17–19°C, providing context for why extremes below 16°C or above 22°C carry negligible implied probability. Slight variations in urban measurement sites and model resolution keep the 18°C, 20°C, and 21°C outcomes nearly even, as traders weigh the final official reading against potential microscale differences. Updated evening observations and any late model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Istanbul il 12 settembre?
18°C 98%
19°C 92%
21°C 51%
17°C 10.8%
$435 Vol.
$435 Vol.
12 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
11%
18°C
98%
19°C
92%
20°C
-
21°C
51%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 98%
19°C 92%
21°C 51%
17°C 10.8%
$435 Vol.
$435 Vol.
12 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
$15 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$150 Vol.
11%
18°C
$135 Vol.
98%
19°C
$67 Vol.
92%
20°C
$5 Vol.
-
21°C
$3 Vol.
51%
22°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
24°C o superiore
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's September 12 lowest temperature reflects tight clustering around 18–21°C, driven by official forecast consensus from models such as GFS showing overnight lows near 18–20°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow.**
A sunny daytime high near 29°C allowed efficient radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points and light winds limiting further drops. Historical September climatology places typical minimums around 17–19°C, providing context for why extremes below 16°C or above 22°C carry negligible implied probability. Slight variations in urban measurement sites and model resolution keep the 18°C, 20°C, and 21°C outcomes nearly even, as traders weigh the final official reading against potential microscale differences. Updated evening observations and any late model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$435Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's September 12 lowest temperature reflects tight clustering around 18–21°C, driven by official forecast consensus from models such as GFS showing overnight lows near 18–20°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow.**
A sunny daytime high near 29°C allowed efficient radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points and light winds limiting further drops. Historical September climatology places typical minimums around 17–19°C, providing context for why extremes below 16°C or above 22°C carry negligible implied probability. Slight variations in urban measurement sites and model resolution keep the 18°C, 20°C, and 21°C outcomes nearly even, as traders weigh the final official reading against potential microscale differences. Updated evening observations and any late model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$435Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Istanbul's September 12 lowest temperature reflects tight clustering around 18–21°C, driven by official forecast consensus from models such as GFS showing overnight lows near 18–20°C under clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow.** A sunny daytime high near 29°C allowed efficient radiational cooling after sunset, with dew points and light winds limiting further drops. Historical September climatology places typical minimums around 17–19°C, providing context for why extremes below 16°C or above 22°C carry negligible implied probability. Slight variations in urban measurement sites and model resolution keep the 18°C, 20°C, and 21°C outcomes nearly even, as traders weigh the final official reading against potential microscale differences. Updated evening observations and any late model runs remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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