**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 22, 2026, with 93% implied probability.** Multiple official and regional forecasts, including from local meteorological services, project overnight lows of 22–26°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 32–35°C and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with Jinan’s August climatology (average lows near 22–25°C) and recent observations showing minima consistently in the mid-20s despite convective activity. Model consensus indicates no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling sufficient to drop below the threshold. The primary driver is persistent warm, moist southerly flow under monsoon influence. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly surge or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though current guidance shows low probability of either.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 22 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Jinan il 22 agosto?
22°C o superiore 94%
21°C 51%
19°C 37%
20°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
23%
17°C
9%
18°C
15%
19°C
37%
20°C
28%
21°C
51%
22°C o superiore
94%
22°C o superiore 94%
21°C 51%
19°C 37%
20°C 28%
NUOVO
NUOVO
22 ago 2026
12°C o inferiore
$21 Vol.
1%
13°C
$21 Vol.
1%
14°C
$21 Vol.
1%
15°C
$21 Vol.
1%
16°C
$21 Vol.
23%
17°C
$21 Vol.
9%
18°C
$21 Vol.
15%
19°C
$21 Vol.
37%
20°C
$21 Vol.
28%
21°C
$21 Vol.
51%
22°C o superiore
$279 Vol.
94%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 22, 2026, with 93% implied probability.** Multiple official and regional forecasts, including from local meteorological services, project overnight lows of 22–26°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 32–35°C and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with Jinan’s August climatology (average lows near 22–25°C) and recent observations showing minima consistently in the mid-20s despite convective activity. Model consensus indicates no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling sufficient to drop below the threshold. The primary driver is persistent warm, moist southerly flow under monsoon influence. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly surge or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though current guidance shows low probability of either.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$492Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 22, 2026, with 93% implied probability.** Multiple official and regional forecasts, including from local meteorological services, project overnight lows of 22–26°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 32–35°C and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with Jinan’s August climatology (average lows near 22–25°C) and recent observations showing minima consistently in the mid-20s despite convective activity. Model consensus indicates no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling sufficient to drop below the threshold. The primary driver is persistent warm, moist southerly flow under monsoon influence. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly surge or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though current guidance shows low probability of either.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$492Data di fine
22 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a minimum temperature of 22°C or higher in Jinan on August 22, 2026, with 93% implied probability.** Multiple official and regional forecasts, including from local meteorological services, project overnight lows of 22–26°C amid typical late-summer conditions, with daytime highs near 32–35°C and scattered thunderstorms. This aligns with Jinan’s August climatology (average lows near 22–25°C) and recent observations showing minima consistently in the mid-20s despite convective activity. Model consensus indicates no significant cold-air advection or clear-sky radiative cooling sufficient to drop below the threshold. The primary driver is persistent warm, moist southerly flow under monsoon influence. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly surge or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though current guidance shows low probability of either.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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