Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models like those used by AccuWeather indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on August 21 will likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's strong 80% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-August monsoon conditions—high humidity, light winds, and coastal moderation—prevent significant radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows clustered around seasonal averages of 26–28°C. Recent observations show stable readings in this range with patchy rain and no major cold surge or clear-sky enhancement expected. Lower-probability outcomes like 24–26°C would require atypical cooling from stronger winds or clearer skies, while higher values remain unlikely given persistent moisture and heat retention. Updated model runs and official PMD briefings on monsoon withdrawal will provide the next key data points for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 21 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Karachi il 21 agosto?
27°C 80%
24°C 33%
26°C 17%
25°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
33%
25°C
16%
26°C
17%
27°C
80%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 80%
24°C 33%
26°C 17%
25°C 16%
NUOVO
NUOVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
$321 Vol.
1%
23°C
$167 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$116 Vol.
33%
25°C
$103 Vol.
16%
26°C
$41 Vol.
17%
27°C
$49 Vol.
80%
28°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$150 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$205 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models like those used by AccuWeather indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on August 21 will likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's strong 80% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-August monsoon conditions—high humidity, light winds, and coastal moderation—prevent significant radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows clustered around seasonal averages of 26–28°C. Recent observations show stable readings in this range with patchy rain and no major cold surge or clear-sky enhancement expected. Lower-probability outcomes like 24–26°C would require atypical cooling from stronger winds or clearer skies, while higher values remain unlikely given persistent moisture and heat retention. Updated model runs and official PMD briefings on monsoon withdrawal will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volume
$1,635Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models like those used by AccuWeather indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on August 21 will likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's strong 80% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-August monsoon conditions—high humidity, light winds, and coastal moderation—prevent significant radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows clustered around seasonal averages of 26–28°C. Recent observations show stable readings in this range with patchy rain and no major cold surge or clear-sky enhancement expected. Lower-probability outcomes like 24–26°C would require atypical cooling from stronger winds or clearer skies, while higher values remain unlikely given persistent moisture and heat retention. Updated model runs and official PMD briefings on monsoon withdrawal will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,635Data di fine
21 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models like those used by AccuWeather indicate Karachi's overnight minimum on August 21 will likely settle near 27°C, aligning with the market's strong 80% implied probability for that outcome. Typical late-August monsoon conditions—high humidity, light winds, and coastal moderation—prevent significant radiative cooling overnight, keeping lows clustered around seasonal averages of 26–28°C. Recent observations show stable readings in this range with patchy rain and no major cold surge or clear-sky enhancement expected. Lower-probability outcomes like 24–26°C would require atypical cooling from stronger winds or clearer skies, while higher values remain unlikely given persistent moisture and heat retention. Updated model runs and official PMD briefings on monsoon withdrawal will provide the next key data points for traders.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti