Recent Met Office and GFS model consensus points to mild overnight conditions for London on September 14, with minimum temperatures likely in the 15–18 °C range under light southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover following Sunday’s rain. This distribution of market-implied probabilities—centered on 17–19 °C—reflects trader assessment of limited radiative cooling beneath the forecast cloud deck and residual warmth from a humid airmass. Key variables include the exact timing of any clearing, wind speeds that could enhance mixing, and small model spreads in dew-point forecasts. Historical September minima average near 12 °C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth. Updated ECMWF and Met Office runs ahead of resolution will refine these inputs for active positions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 14 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 14 settembre?
18°C 34%
14°C 22%
15°C 20%
17°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
2%
13°C
8%
14°C
22%
15°C
20%
16°C
11%
17°C
20%
18°C
34%
19°C
18%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C o superiore
2%
18°C 34%
14°C 22%
15°C 20%
17°C 20%
NUOVO
NUOVO
14 set 2026
12°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
13°C
$0 Vol.
8%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C
$0 Vol.
20%
16°C
$40 Vol.
11%
17°C
$743 Vol.
20%
18°C
$120 Vol.
34%
19°C
$67 Vol.
18%
20°C
$0 Vol.
8%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model consensus points to mild overnight conditions for London on September 14, with minimum temperatures likely in the 15–18 °C range under light southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover following Sunday’s rain. This distribution of market-implied probabilities—centered on 17–19 °C—reflects trader assessment of limited radiative cooling beneath the forecast cloud deck and residual warmth from a humid airmass. Key variables include the exact timing of any clearing, wind speeds that could enhance mixing, and small model spreads in dew-point forecasts. Historical September minima average near 12 °C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth. Updated ECMWF and Met Office runs ahead of resolution will refine these inputs for active positions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$970Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and GFS model consensus points to mild overnight conditions for London on September 14, with minimum temperatures likely in the 15–18 °C range under light southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover following Sunday’s rain. This distribution of market-implied probabilities—centered on 17–19 °C—reflects trader assessment of limited radiative cooling beneath the forecast cloud deck and residual warmth from a humid airmass. Key variables include the exact timing of any clearing, wind speeds that could enhance mixing, and small model spreads in dew-point forecasts. Historical September minima average near 12 °C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth. Updated ECMWF and Met Office runs ahead of resolution will refine these inputs for active positions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$970Data di fine
14 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and GFS model consensus points to mild overnight conditions for London on September 14, with minimum temperatures likely in the 15–18 °C range under light southwesterly flow and increasing cloud cover following Sunday’s rain. This distribution of market-implied probabilities—centered on 17–19 °C—reflects trader assessment of limited radiative cooling beneath the forecast cloud deck and residual warmth from a humid airmass. Key variables include the exact timing of any clearing, wind speeds that could enhance mixing, and small model spreads in dew-point forecasts. Historical September minima average near 12 °C, underscoring the current anomalous warmth. Updated ECMWF and Met Office runs ahead of resolution will refine these inputs for active positions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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