Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and model consensus indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 12 will reach approximately 8–9°C under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds. This positioning reflects typical mid-September radiative cooling moderated by regional airflow, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average low of 8.6°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 9°C and 8°C outcomes due to minor uncertainties in exact timing of cloud cover, local urban heat island effects, and potential forecast revisions from updated runs. Lower probabilities for 7°C or below stem from the absence of strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would enhance nocturnal temperature drops.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 12 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Mosca il 12 settembre?
9°C 51%
4°C o inferiore 50%
7°C 10%
6°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
4°C o inferiore
50%
5°C
3%
6°C
6%
7°C
10%
8°C
50%
9°C
51%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C o superiore
<1%
9°C 51%
4°C o inferiore 50%
7°C 10%
6°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 set 2026
4°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
50%
5°C
$0 Vol.
3%
6°C
$0 Vol.
6%
7°C
$35 Vol.
10%
8°C
$23 Vol.
50%
9°C
$0 Vol.
51%
10°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
14°C o superiore
$15 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and model consensus indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 12 will reach approximately 8–9°C under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds. This positioning reflects typical mid-September radiative cooling moderated by regional airflow, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average low of 8.6°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 9°C and 8°C outcomes due to minor uncertainties in exact timing of cloud cover, local urban heat island effects, and potential forecast revisions from updated runs. Lower probabilities for 7°C or below stem from the absence of strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would enhance nocturnal temperature drops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$284Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and model consensus indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 12 will reach approximately 8–9°C under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds. This positioning reflects typical mid-September radiative cooling moderated by regional airflow, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average low of 8.6°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 9°C and 8°C outcomes due to minor uncertainties in exact timing of cloud cover, local urban heat island effects, and potential forecast revisions from updated runs. Lower probabilities for 7°C or below stem from the absence of strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would enhance nocturnal temperature drops.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$284Data di fine
12 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and model consensus indicate Moscow's overnight minimum on September 12 will reach approximately 8–9°C under partly cloudy skies with light to moderate westerly winds. This positioning reflects typical mid-September radiative cooling moderated by regional airflow, aligning closely with the 1991–2020 average low of 8.6°C. Trader sentiment remains split between the 9°C and 8°C outcomes due to minor uncertainties in exact timing of cloud cover, local urban heat island effects, and potential forecast revisions from updated runs. Lower probabilities for 7°C or below stem from the absence of strong cold advection or clear-sky extremes that would enhance nocturnal temperature drops.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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