Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a low of 14–15°C in Paris on August 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting radiational cooling overnight. This places the implied probability near the historical average low of 14°C, though trader positioning favors 11–13°C outcomes amid recent model runs showing modestly cooler nights following a warm early-August period. Clear conditions and winds under 10 km/h enhance the chance of dipping below seasonal norms without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Updated guidance expected from European meteorological agencies in the next 24–48 hours could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Parigi il 23 agosto?
12°C 58%
13°C 25%
11°C 18%
16°C 6%
8°C o inferiore
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
6%
11°C
18%
12°C
52%
13°C
25%
14°C
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
12°C 58%
13°C 25%
11°C 18%
16°C 6%
8°C o inferiore
1%
9°C
5%
10°C
6%
11°C
18%
12°C
52%
13°C
25%
14°C
6%
15°C
5%
16°C
6%
17°C
1%
18°C o superiore
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a low of 14–15°C in Paris on August 23 under clear to partly cloudy skies with light northeasterly flow, supporting radiational cooling overnight. This places the implied probability near the historical average low of 14°C, though trader positioning favors 11–13°C outcomes amid recent model runs showing modestly cooler nights following a warm early-August period. Clear conditions and winds under 10 km/h enhance the chance of dipping below seasonal norms without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate temperatures. Updated guidance expected from European meteorological agencies in the next 24–48 hours could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti