Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum near 16°C for Seoul on June 11, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with early-June climatology showing typical lows of 15–18°C before monsoon influences intensify, with global ensemble models showing tight consensus around this value and no major cold-air advection. The market’s 97.8% implied probability for 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified observational baselines and forecast stability. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted nocturnal temperature inversion or sudden shift in steering patterns bringing cooler air masses, potentially lowering the minimum by 1–2°C if model guidance diverges sharply in the final hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Seoul l'11 giugno?
La temperatura più bassa a Seoul l'11 giugno?
16°C 97.8%
15°C 1.6%
14°C <1%
11°C o inferiore <1%
$32,488 Vol.
$32,488 Vol.
11 giu 2026
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C o superiore
<1%
16°C 97.8%
15°C 1.6%
14°C <1%
11°C o inferiore <1%
$32,488 Vol.
$32,488 Vol.
11 giu 2026
11°C o inferiore
$557 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$571 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$845 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,094 Vol.
1%
15°C
$2,995 Vol.
2%
16°C
$11,048 Vol.
98%
17°C
$1,984 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$10,966 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$772 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$481 Vol.
<1%
21°C o superiore
$454 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum near 16°C for Seoul on June 11, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with early-June climatology showing typical lows of 15–18°C before monsoon influences intensify, with global ensemble models showing tight consensus around this value and no major cold-air advection. The market’s 97.8% implied probability for 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified observational baselines and forecast stability. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted nocturnal temperature inversion or sudden shift in steering patterns bringing cooler air masses, potentially lowering the minimum by 1–2°C if model guidance diverges sharply in the final hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$32,488Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum near 16°C for Seoul on June 11, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with early-June climatology showing typical lows of 15–18°C before monsoon influences intensify, with global ensemble models showing tight consensus around this value and no major cold-air advection. The market’s 97.8% implied probability for 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified observational baselines and forecast stability. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted nocturnal temperature inversion or sudden shift in steering patterns bringing cooler air masses, potentially lowering the minimum by 1–2°C if model guidance diverges sharply in the final hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$32,488Data di fine
11 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a daily minimum near 16°C for Seoul on June 11, driven by stable high-pressure conditions, light winds, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. This aligns with early-June climatology showing typical lows of 15–18°C before monsoon influences intensify, with global ensemble models showing tight consensus around this value and no major cold-air advection. The market’s 97.8% implied probability for 16°C reflects traders’ confidence in these verified observational baselines and forecast stability. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted nocturnal temperature inversion or sudden shift in steering patterns bringing cooler air masses, potentially lowering the minimum by 1–2°C if model guidance diverges sharply in the final hours.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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