**Stable high-pressure conditions and consistent forecast models are positioning 22–24°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on September 13.** Official and ensemble guidance (including GFS-influenced runs) show clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, and dew points supporting radiative cooling overnight, with minimums clustering around 22–23°C. Current conditions on September 12 feature highs near 29–30°C and overnight lows already tracking 23°C, with no approaching fronts, typhoons, or significant moisture to alter the pattern. Historical September climatology for the region averages lows near 20–21°C, but the present stable setup favors slightly warmer values. Market-implied odds align closely with this narrow range, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus ahead of the final overnight observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 13 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 13 settembre?
23°C 42%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
11%
22°C
27%
23°C
42%
24°C
20%
25°C
5%
26°C
3%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 42%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$153 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$93 Vol.
1%
21°C
$724 Vol.
11%
22°C
$1,705 Vol.
27%
23°C
$1,802 Vol.
42%
24°C
$2,054 Vol.
20%
25°C
$430 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$27 Vol.
1%
28°C
$93 Vol.
1%
29°C o superiore
$163 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and consistent forecast models are positioning 22–24°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on September 13.**
Official and ensemble guidance (including GFS-influenced runs) show clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, and dew points supporting radiative cooling overnight, with minimums clustering around 22–23°C. Current conditions on September 12 feature highs near 29–30°C and overnight lows already tracking 23°C, with no approaching fronts, typhoons, or significant moisture to alter the pattern. Historical September climatology for the region averages lows near 20–21°C, but the present stable setup favors slightly warmer values. Market-implied odds align closely with this narrow range, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus ahead of the final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$7,243Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and consistent forecast models are positioning 22–24°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on September 13.**
Official and ensemble guidance (including GFS-influenced runs) show clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, and dew points supporting radiative cooling overnight, with minimums clustering around 22–23°C. Current conditions on September 12 feature highs near 29–30°C and overnight lows already tracking 23°C, with no approaching fronts, typhoons, or significant moisture to alter the pattern. Historical September climatology for the region averages lows near 20–21°C, but the present stable setup favors slightly warmer values. Market-implied odds align closely with this narrow range, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus ahead of the final overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,243Data di fine
13 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Stable high-pressure conditions and consistent forecast models are positioning 22–24°C as the leading outcomes for Shanghai’s lowest temperature on September 13.** Official and ensemble guidance (including GFS-influenced runs) show clear to partly cloudy skies, light northeast winds of 2–4 m/s, and dew points supporting radiative cooling overnight, with minimums clustering around 22–23°C. Current conditions on September 12 feature highs near 29–30°C and overnight lows already tracking 23°C, with no approaching fronts, typhoons, or significant moisture to alter the pattern. Historical September climatology for the region averages lows near 20–21°C, but the present stable setup favors slightly warmer values. Market-implied odds align closely with this narrow range, reflecting trader assessment of model consensus ahead of the final overnight observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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