**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C low reflects converging official observations and model guidance confirming Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 9, 2026, reached or settled at that threshold.** Real-time station data from central districts (e.g., Xujiahui ~23.9°C, Baoshan ~23.4°C) and broader network readings cluster tightly around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and dew points near 19–21°C that limited further radiative cooling overnight. Shanghai Meteorological Bureau forecasts and GFS/ECMWF consensus aligned on this narrow range, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky intensification expected. The market-implied odds treat the daily minimum—typically resolved from verified station networks—as effectively locked at 23°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night drop below 22°C at the primary resolution station or a post-hoc measurement revision, though current conditions and timing make such shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 9 settembre?
23°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$16,744 Vol.
$16,744 Vol.
9 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Sì
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C o superiore
No
23°C 100.0%
19°C o inferiore <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$16,744 Vol.
$16,744 Vol.
9 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$279 Vol.
No
20°C
$365 Vol.
No
21°C
$518 Vol.
No
22°C
$1,845 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,130 Vol.
Sì
24°C
$6,685 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,221 Vol.
No
26°C
$347 Vol.
No
27°C
$548 Vol.
No
28°C
$411 Vol.
No
29°C o superiore
$396 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C low reflects converging official observations and model guidance confirming Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 9, 2026, reached or settled at that threshold.**
Real-time station data from central districts (e.g., Xujiahui ~23.9°C, Baoshan ~23.4°C) and broader network readings cluster tightly around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and dew points near 19–21°C that limited further radiative cooling overnight. Shanghai Meteorological Bureau forecasts and GFS/ECMWF consensus aligned on this narrow range, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky intensification expected. The market-implied odds treat the daily minimum—typically resolved from verified station networks—as effectively locked at 23°C.
A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night drop below 22°C at the primary resolution station or a post-hoc measurement revision, though current conditions and timing make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$16,744Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C low reflects converging official observations and model guidance confirming Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 9, 2026, reached or settled at that threshold.**
Real-time station data from central districts (e.g., Xujiahui ~23.9°C, Baoshan ~23.4°C) and broader network readings cluster tightly around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and dew points near 19–21°C that limited further radiative cooling overnight. Shanghai Meteorological Bureau forecasts and GFS/ECMWF consensus aligned on this narrow range, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky intensification expected. The market-implied odds treat the daily minimum—typically resolved from verified station networks—as effectively locked at 23°C.
A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night drop below 22°C at the primary resolution station or a post-hoc measurement revision, though current conditions and timing make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,744Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
**Trader consensus at 100% for a 23°C low reflects converging official observations and model guidance confirming Shanghai's minimum temperature on September 9, 2026, reached or settled at that threshold.** Real-time station data from central districts (e.g., Xujiahui ~23.9°C, Baoshan ~23.4°C) and broader network readings cluster tightly around 22–24°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and dew points near 19–21°C that limited further radiative cooling overnight. Shanghai Meteorological Bureau forecasts and GFS/ECMWF consensus aligned on this narrow range, with no significant cold advection or clear-sky intensification expected. The market-implied odds treat the daily minimum—typically resolved from verified station networks—as effectively locked at 23°C. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night drop below 22°C at the primary resolution station or a post-hoc measurement revision, though current conditions and timing make such shifts improbable.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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