Current forecast models indicate Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered convection that reduces radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, but local urban effects and exact timing of any showers introduce variability across observing sites. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 21-26°C because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in dew points and wind speeds, with clearer intervals potentially allowing brief drops toward 21°C while sustained cloud cover or light rain supports readings near 25-26°C; no significant cold advection or typhoon influence appears imminent to shift outcomes further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shenzhen il 13 settembre?
21°C o inferiore 90%
22°C 90%
23°C 90%
25°C 52%
21°C o inferiore
90%
22°C
90%
23°C
90%
24°C
46%
25°C
52%
26°C
48%
27°C
48%
28°C
10%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
21°C o inferiore 90%
22°C 90%
23°C 90%
25°C 52%
21°C o inferiore
90%
22°C
90%
23°C
90%
24°C
46%
25°C
52%
26°C
48%
27°C
48%
28°C
10%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models indicate Shenzhen's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely fall in the mid-20s Celsius, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered convection that reduces radiative cooling under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Historical September averages near 24°C provide context, but local urban effects and exact timing of any showers introduce variability across observing sites. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 21-26°C because ensemble guidance shows modest spread in dew points and wind speeds, with clearer intervals potentially allowing brief drops toward 21°C while sustained cloud cover or light rain supports readings near 25-26°C; no significant cold advection or typhoon influence appears imminent to shift outcomes further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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