Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16 likely between 23°C and 24°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure around 1012 hPa, consistent with typical September radiative cooling in the eastern Mediterranean. Trader consensus on these closely matched outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum, driven by factors such as urban heat island effects, exact timing of the daily low near dawn, and minor variations in dew point and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology for mid-September shows average lows near 24°C, with limited model spread supporting the elevated probabilities for 23–24°C while assigning lower odds to cooler thresholds absent any incoming frontal systems or increased cloud cover. Updated observations through the night will refine these market-implied odds ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 16 settembre?
20°C o inferiore 90%
22°C 10%
21°C 9%
25°C <1%
20°C o inferiore
90%
21°C
9%
22°C
10%
23°C
47%
24°C
-
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
20°C o inferiore 90%
22°C 10%
21°C 9%
25°C <1%
20°C o inferiore
90%
21°C
9%
22°C
10%
23°C
47%
24°C
-
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 14, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 16 likely between 23°C and 24°C under clear skies, light northerly winds, and high pressure around 1012 hPa, consistent with typical September radiative cooling in the eastern Mediterranean. Trader consensus on these closely matched outcomes reflects uncertainty in the precise nocturnal minimum, driven by factors such as urban heat island effects, exact timing of the daily low near dawn, and minor variations in dew point and boundary-layer mixing. Historical climatology for mid-September shows average lows near 24°C, with limited model spread supporting the elevated probabilities for 23–24°C while assigning lower odds to cooler thresholds absent any incoming frontal systems or increased cloud cover. Updated observations through the night will refine these market-implied odds ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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