Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17 near 23–24°C under clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure, producing market-implied odds clustered on those outcomes. Overnight radiative cooling will be limited by dew points around 18–20°C and minimal cloud cover, while the land-sea breeze pattern keeps coastal values slightly above inland norms. Historical September averages hover near 23°C, and the latest runs show little day-to-day shift, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the nocturnal minimum create the tight spread between 23°C and 24°C probabilities. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and final model cycles ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tel Aviv il 17 settembre?
19°C o inferiore 63%
20°C 39%
24°C 30%
23°C 28%
19°C o inferiore
63%
20°C
39%
21°C
11%
22°C
22%
23°C
28%
24°C
30%
25°C
21%
26°C
19%
27°C
5%
28°C
4%
29°C o superiore
7%
19°C o inferiore 63%
20°C 39%
24°C 30%
23°C 28%
19°C o inferiore
63%
20°C
39%
21°C
11%
22°C
22%
23°C
28%
24°C
30%
25°C
21%
26°C
19%
27°C
5%
28°C
4%
29°C o superiore
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a minimum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17 near 23–24°C under clear skies, light variable winds, and stable high pressure, producing market-implied odds clustered on those outcomes. Overnight radiative cooling will be limited by dew points around 18–20°C and minimal cloud cover, while the land-sea breeze pattern keeps coastal values slightly above inland norms. Historical September averages hover near 23°C, and the latest runs show little day-to-day shift, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the nocturnal minimum create the tight spread between 23°C and 24°C probabilities. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and final model cycles ahead of the overnight period remain the key near-term catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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