The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo on June 11 projects a minimum temperature of 18°C, matching the climatological normal of roughly 18.2–18.3°C for early June in the Kanto region. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm stable atmospheric conditions with minimal overnight variability, typical of the period before peak rainy-season humidity and frontal activity intensify. Traders assign near-certainty to this outcome because official short-term temperature guidance shows a narrow uncertainty range, reinforced by consistent ensemble consensus. Only sizable deviations from station readings—such as localized urban heat-island effects altering the official Tokyo measurement or an unexpected cold frontal passage—could realistically shift the recorded low outside 18°C before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Tokyo l'11 giugno?
18°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,638 Vol.
$21,638 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
18°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
15°C <1%
17°C <1%
$21,638 Vol.
$21,638 Vol.
13°C o inferiore
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Jun 9, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency forecast for Tokyo on June 11 projects a minimum temperature of 18°C, matching the climatological normal of roughly 18.2–18.3°C for early June in the Kanto region. Recent model runs and surface observations confirm stable atmospheric conditions with minimal overnight variability, typical of the period before peak rainy-season humidity and frontal activity intensify. Traders assign near-certainty to this outcome because official short-term temperature guidance shows a narrow uncertainty range, reinforced by consistent ensemble consensus. Only sizable deviations from station readings—such as localized urban heat-island effects altering the official Tokyo measurement or an unexpected cold frontal passage—could realistically shift the recorded low outside 18°C before market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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