Trader consensus heavily favors a 19–20°C minimum in Tokyo on September 10, with those outcomes capturing nearly 80% of market-implied probability. The primary driver is a cool, moist northeasterly flow behind a frontal boundary that has delivered persistent cloud cover, light rain, and suppressed radiational cooling overnight. Official guidance from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C under overcast skies and northerly winds of 5–10 m/s, with daytime highs only reaching 21–23°C. This setup aligns closely with recent cool anomalies for early September and leaves limited scope for warmer or colder extremes absent a sharp forecast shift. Final resolution will hinge on the 24-hour minimum recorded by official stations through the night of September 9–10.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Tokyo il 10 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Tokyo il 10 settembre?
20°C 48%
19°C 32%
21°C 16%
22°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
2%
18°C
4%
19°C
32%
20°C
48%
21°C
16%
22°C
4%
23°C
2%
24°C o superiore
1%
20°C 48%
19°C 32%
21°C 16%
22°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 set 2026
14°C o inferiore
$74 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$264 Vol.
2%
16°C
$297 Vol.
3%
17°C
$276 Vol.
2%
18°C
$140 Vol.
4%
19°C
$858 Vol.
32%
20°C
$583 Vol.
48%
21°C
$333 Vol.
16%
22°C
$120 Vol.
4%
23°C
$185 Vol.
2%
24°C o superiore
$60 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 19–20°C minimum in Tokyo on September 10, with those outcomes capturing nearly 80% of market-implied probability. The primary driver is a cool, moist northeasterly flow behind a frontal boundary that has delivered persistent cloud cover, light rain, and suppressed radiational cooling overnight. Official guidance from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C under overcast skies and northerly winds of 5–10 m/s, with daytime highs only reaching 21–23°C. This setup aligns closely with recent cool anomalies for early September and leaves limited scope for warmer or colder extremes absent a sharp forecast shift. Final resolution will hinge on the 24-hour minimum recorded by official stations through the night of September 9–10.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,192Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors a 19–20°C minimum in Tokyo on September 10, with those outcomes capturing nearly 80% of market-implied probability. The primary driver is a cool, moist northeasterly flow behind a frontal boundary that has delivered persistent cloud cover, light rain, and suppressed radiational cooling overnight. Official guidance from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C under overcast skies and northerly winds of 5–10 m/s, with daytime highs only reaching 21–23°C. This setup aligns closely with recent cool anomalies for early September and leaves limited scope for warmer or colder extremes absent a sharp forecast shift. Final resolution will hinge on the 24-hour minimum recorded by official stations through the night of September 9–10.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,192Data di fine
10 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a 19–20°C minimum in Tokyo on September 10, with those outcomes capturing nearly 80% of market-implied probability. The primary driver is a cool, moist northeasterly flow behind a frontal boundary that has delivered persistent cloud cover, light rain, and suppressed radiational cooling overnight. Official guidance from sources including the Japan Meteorological Agency and ensemble models shows overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C under overcast skies and northerly winds of 5–10 m/s, with daytime highs only reaching 21–23°C. This setup aligns closely with recent cool anomalies for early September and leaves limited scope for warmer or colder extremes absent a sharp forecast shift. Final resolution will hinge on the 24-hour minimum recorded by official stations through the night of September 9–10.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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