**Trader consensus has converged on a 5°C minimum for Wellington on September 9, 2026, at near-100% implied probability.** Official meteorological observations, including hourly data from Wellington-area stations, recorded the day's lowest temperature at this level amid clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and overnight cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with late-winter/early-spring patterns where radiative cooling can push minima several degrees below seasonal averages of roughly 7–9°C. Model guidance and real-time station reports showed no further drop after the observed low, locking in the outcome ahead of resolution. A late revision in official data or an unforecasted localized cold pocket could theoretically alter the recorded minimum, though current evidence makes such shifts highly unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 9 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Wellington il 9 settembre?
5°C 100.0%
2°C o inferiore <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
2°C o inferiore
1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
100%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C o superiore
<1%
5°C 100.0%
2°C o inferiore <1%
3°C <1%
4°C <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
9 set 2026
2°C o inferiore
$464 Vol.
1%
3°C
$622 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$129 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$498 Vol.
100%
6°C
$825 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$332 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$170 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$590 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
12°C o superiore
$375 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 5°C minimum for Wellington on September 9, 2026, at near-100% implied probability.** Official meteorological observations, including hourly data from Wellington-area stations, recorded the day's lowest temperature at this level amid clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and overnight cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with late-winter/early-spring patterns where radiative cooling can push minima several degrees below seasonal averages of roughly 7–9°C. Model guidance and real-time station reports showed no further drop after the observed low, locking in the outcome ahead of resolution. A late revision in official data or an unforecasted localized cold pocket could theoretically alter the recorded minimum, though current evidence makes such shifts highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$4,563Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 5°C minimum for Wellington on September 9, 2026, at near-100% implied probability.** Official meteorological observations, including hourly data from Wellington-area stations, recorded the day's lowest temperature at this level amid clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and overnight cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with late-winter/early-spring patterns where radiative cooling can push minima several degrees below seasonal averages of roughly 7–9°C. Model guidance and real-time station reports showed no further drop after the observed low, locking in the outcome ahead of resolution. A late revision in official data or an unforecasted localized cold pocket could theoretically alter the recorded minimum, though current evidence makes such shifts highly unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,563Data di fine
9 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on a 5°C minimum for Wellington on September 9, 2026, at near-100% implied probability.** Official meteorological observations, including hourly data from Wellington-area stations, recorded the day's lowest temperature at this level amid clear to partly cloudy skies, moderate northerly winds, and overnight cooling under stable high pressure. This aligns with late-winter/early-spring patterns where radiative cooling can push minima several degrees below seasonal averages of roughly 7–9°C. Model guidance and real-time station reports showed no further drop after the observed low, locking in the outcome ahead of resolution. A late revision in official data or an unforecasted localized cold pocket could theoretically alter the recorded minimum, though current evidence makes such shifts highly unlikely.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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