Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou near 20–22°C on September 12, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus clustering around 17–18°C reflects adjustments for potential model underestimation of boundary-layer moisture and subtle frontal influences, consistent with historical September lows averaging near 17°C. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum, urban heat island effects at official stations, and any late-day convective activity that could alter the temperature trajectory before resolution. Updated observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether the outcome settles at the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Zhengzhou il 12 settembre?
18°C 99.5%
15°C o inferiore 20%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
$1,659 Vol.
$1,659 Vol.
15°C o inferiore
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sì
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C o superiore
No
18°C 99.5%
15°C o inferiore 20%
16°C 2%
17°C 2%
$1,659 Vol.
$1,659 Vol.
15°C o inferiore
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Sì
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C o superiore
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 11, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Zhengzhou near 20–22°C on September 12, with partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling overnight. Trader consensus clustering around 17–18°C reflects adjustments for potential model underestimation of boundary-layer moisture and subtle frontal influences, consistent with historical September lows averaging near 17°C. Key variables include the precise timing of the daily minimum, urban heat island effects at official stations, and any late-day convective activity that could alter the temperature trajectory before resolution. Updated observational data from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether the outcome settles at the upper or lower end of this narrow range.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti