Persistent energy price pressures stemming from the Iran conflict continue to dominate trader expectations for the May 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month reading, with market-implied odds placing the highest probability on a 0.6% increase at 39.5%. The April report delivered a 0.6% monthly advance that lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, driven primarily by a sharp gasoline surge and elevated food costs. Consensus forecasts from major banks cluster around 0.5–0.6% for May, reflecting limited cooling in energy components even as core measures show modest moderation. Traders appear to weigh the risk of further second-round effects against any potential easing in crude prices, resulting in closely matched pricing between the two leading outcomes. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release in mid-June will serve as the key catalyst for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMay Inflation US - Monthly
May Inflation US - Monthly
0.6% 42%
0.5% 35%
0.4% 13%
0.2% 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 giu 2026
≤0.1%
5%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
7%
0.4%
13%
0.5%
35%
0.6%
40%
0.7%
8%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
8%
0.6% 42%
0.5% 35%
0.4% 13%
0.2% 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
10 giu 2026
≤0.1%
$29 Vol.
5%
0.2%
$27 Vol.
9%
0.3%
$389 Vol.
7%
0.4%
$512 Vol.
13%
0.5%
$29 Vol.
35%
0.6%
$258 Vol.
40%
0.7%
$27 Vol.
8%
0.8%
$77 Vol.
5%
≥0.9%
$89 Vol.
8%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Persistent energy price pressures stemming from the Iran conflict continue to dominate trader expectations for the May 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month reading, with market-implied odds placing the highest probability on a 0.6% increase at 39.5%. The April report delivered a 0.6% monthly advance that lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, driven primarily by a sharp gasoline surge and elevated food costs. Consensus forecasts from major banks cluster around 0.5–0.6% for May, reflecting limited cooling in energy components even as core measures show modest moderation. Traders appear to weigh the risk of further second-round effects against any potential easing in crude prices, resulting in closely matched pricing between the two leading outcomes. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release in mid-June will serve as the key catalyst for resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercato aperto: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$1,436Data di fine
10 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Persistent energy price pressures stemming from the Iran conflict continue to dominate trader expectations for the May 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month reading, with market-implied odds placing the highest probability on a 0.6% increase at 39.5%. The April report delivered a 0.6% monthly advance that lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, driven primarily by a sharp gasoline surge and elevated food costs. Consensus forecasts from major banks cluster around 0.5–0.6% for May, reflecting limited cooling in energy components even as core measures show modest moderation. Traders appear to weigh the risk of further second-round effects against any potential easing in crude prices, resulting in closely matched pricing between the two leading outcomes. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release in mid-June will serve as the key catalyst for resolution.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$1,436Data di fine
10 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent energy price pressures stemming from the Iran conflict continue to dominate trader expectations for the May 2026 U.S. CPI month-over-month reading, with market-implied odds placing the highest probability on a 0.6% increase at 39.5%. The April report delivered a 0.6% monthly advance that lifted the year-over-year rate to 3.8%, driven primarily by a sharp gasoline surge and elevated food costs. Consensus forecasts from major banks cluster around 0.5–0.6% for May, reflecting limited cooling in energy components even as core measures show modest moderation. Traders appear to weigh the risk of further second-round effects against any potential easing in crude prices, resulting in closely matched pricing between the two leading outcomes. The Bureau of Labor Statistics release in mid-June will serve as the key catalyst for resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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