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icon for Il Missouri passa il provvedimento elettorale che vieta l'aborto e gli interventi chirurgici transgender minorenni?

Il Missouri passa il provvedimento elettorale che vieta l'aborto e gli interventi chirurgici transgender minorenni?

icon for Il Missouri passa il provvedimento elettorale che vieta l'aborto e gli interventi chirurgici transgender minorenni?

Il Missouri passa il provvedimento elettorale che vieta l'aborto e gli interventi chirurgici transgender minorenni?

35% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO

35% probabilità
Polymarket
NUOVO
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). Missouri voters face Amendment 3 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred measure that would repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom, restrict most abortions to narrow exceptions, require parental consent, and permanently ban gender transition surgeries plus related medications for minors. Trader consensus at 50% reflects a balance between strong public support for the transgender care restrictions—polls show 67-73% opposition to such procedures for those under 18—and resistance to rolling back abortion access approved just two years earlier. Opposition campaigns frame the proposal as an effort to override prior voter will, while backers highlight protections for parental authority and existing state law on minors' care. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout among key voting blocs, and campaign messaging on the combined provisions could alter the outcome.

Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Volume
$10
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/). Missouri voters face Amendment 3 on November 3, 2026, a legislatively referred measure that would repeal the 2024 constitutional right to reproductive freedom, restrict most abortions to narrow exceptions, require parental consent, and permanently ban gender transition surgeries plus related medications for minors. Trader consensus at 50% reflects a balance between strong public support for the transgender care restrictions—polls show 67-73% opposition to such procedures for those under 18—and resistance to rolling back abortion access approved just two years earlier. Opposition campaigns frame the proposal as an effort to override prior voter will, while backers highlight protections for parental authority and existing state law on minors' care. Late-cycle polling shifts, turnout among key voting blocs, and campaign messaging on the combined provisions could alter the outcome.

Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.

Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).
Volume
$10
Data di fine
3 nov 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 30, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Missouri Amendment 3, also known as the "Prohibit Abortion and Gender Transition Procedures for Minors Amendment," is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would ban abortion in most circumstances and prohibit healthcare professionals from providing surgeries to minors for the purpose of altering biological sex characteristics or providing cross-sex hormones or puberty-blocking drugs in most circumstances. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of a Missouri statewide election held on or before November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Missouri, including the Missouri Secretary of State (https://www.sos.mo.gov/).

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"Il Missouri passa il provvedimento elettorale che vieta l'aborto e gli interventi chirurgici transgender minorenni?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 2 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Il Missouri approva una misura elettorale che vieta l’aborto e gli interventi chirurgici transgender sui minori?" a 35%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 35¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 35% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Il Missouri passa il provvedimento elettorale che vieta l'aborto e gli interventi chirurgici transgender minorenni?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 30, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

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L'attuale favorito per "Il Missouri passa il provvedimento elettorale che vieta l'aborto e gli interventi chirurgici transgender minorenni?" è "Il Missouri approva una misura elettorale che vieta l’aborto e gli interventi chirurgici transgender sui minori?" a 35%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 35% a quell'esito. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

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