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Politica·Midterms

Quanti di questi sostenitori di Sanders vinceranno le primarie del 4 agosto (Michigan e Missouri)?

icon for Quanti di questi sostenitori di Sanders vinceranno le primarie del 4 agosto (Michigan e Missouri)?
Politica·Midterms

Quanti di questi sostenitori di Sanders vinceranno le primarie del 4 agosto (Michigan e Missouri)?

1 40%

2 40%

3 40%

4 40%

Polymarket
NUOVO

1 40%

2 40%

3 40%

4 40%

Polymarket
NUOVO

0

$0 Vol.

13%

1

$0 Vol.

40%

2

$0 Vol.

40%

3

$0 Vol.

40%

4

$0 Vol.

40%

Bernie Sanders has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed, Cori Bush, William Lawrence, and Donavan McKinney in contested Senate and Congressional primary races that are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will still be considered to have won the primary if no primary election is held and the candidate receives the relevant party nomination. This market will only consider the four candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant. The candidates and races are: Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary; Cori Bush in the MO-01 Democratic House Primary; William Lawrence in the MI-07 Democratic House Primary; and Donavan McKinney in the MI-13 Democratic House Primary. If, for any listed race, no nominee has been formally determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the listed candidate in that race will be deemed not to have won. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of the relevant state election authorities responsible for reporting the results of these primary elections; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Bernie Sanders has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed, Cori Bush, William Lawrence, and Donavan McKinney in contested Senate and Congressional primary races that are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will still be considered to have won the primary if no primary election is held and the candidate receives the relevant party nomination.

This market will only consider the four candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant.

The candidates and races are:

Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary; Cori Bush in the MO-01 Democratic House Primary; William Lawrence in the MI-07 Democratic House Primary; and Donavan McKinney in the MI-13 Democratic House Primary.

If, for any listed race, no nominee has been formally determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the listed candidate in that race will be deemed not to have won.

The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of the relevant state election authorities responsible for reporting the results of these primary elections; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Bernie Sanders has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed, Cori Bush, William Lawrence, and Donavan McKinney in contested Senate and Congressional primary races that are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will still be considered to have won the primary if no primary election is held and the candidate receives the relevant party nomination. This market will only consider the four candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant. The candidates and races are: Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary; Cori Bush in the MO-01 Democratic House Primary; William Lawrence in the MI-07 Democratic House Primary; and Donavan McKinney in the MI-13 Democratic House Primary. If, for any listed race, no nominee has been formally determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the listed candidate in that race will be deemed not to have won. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of the relevant state election authorities responsible for reporting the results of these primary elections; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Bernie Sanders has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed, Cori Bush, William Lawrence, and Donavan McKinney in contested Senate and Congressional primary races that are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will still be considered to have won the primary if no primary election is held and the candidate receives the relevant party nomination. This market will only consider the four candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant. The candidates and races are: Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary; Cori Bush in the MO-01 Democratic House Primary; William Lawrence in the MI-07 Democratic House Primary; and Donavan McKinney in the MI-13 Democratic House Primary. If, for any listed race, no nominee has been formally determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the listed candidate in that race will be deemed not to have won. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of the relevant state election authorities responsible for reporting the results of these primary elections; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Bernie Sanders has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed, Cori Bush, William Lawrence, and Donavan McKinney in contested Senate and Congressional primary races that are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will still be considered to have won the primary if no primary election is held and the candidate receives the relevant party nomination.

This market will only consider the four candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant.

The candidates and races are:

Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary; Cori Bush in the MO-01 Democratic House Primary; William Lawrence in the MI-07 Democratic House Primary; and Donavan McKinney in the MI-13 Democratic House Primary.

If, for any listed race, no nominee has been formally determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the listed candidate in that race will be deemed not to have won.

The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of the relevant state election authorities responsible for reporting the results of these primary elections; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Jul 27, 2026, 10:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Bernie Sanders has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed, Cori Bush, William Lawrence, and Donavan McKinney in contested Senate and Congressional primary races that are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of candidates, among those listed below, who win their primaries, inclusive of any runoff elections. For purposes of this market, a candidate will still be considered to have won the primary if no primary election is held and the candidate receives the relevant party nomination. This market will only consider the four candidates listed below. No subsequent endorsement, unendorsement, or withdrawal from a race will be relevant. The candidates and races are: Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary; Cori Bush in the MO-01 Democratic House Primary; William Lawrence in the MI-07 Democratic House Primary; and Donavan McKinney in the MI-13 Democratic House Primary. If, for any listed race, no nominee has been formally determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the listed candidate in that race will be deemed not to have won. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of the relevant state election authorities responsible for reporting the results of these primary elections; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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"Quanti di questi sostenitori di Sanders vinceranno le primarie del 4 agosto (Michigan e Missouri)?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "1" a 40%, seguito da "2" a 40%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 40¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Quanti di questi sostenitori di Sanders vinceranno le primarie del 4 agosto (Michigan e Missouri)?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jul 27, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Quanti di questi sostenitori di Sanders vinceranno le primarie del 4 agosto (Michigan e Missouri)?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quanti di questi sostenitori di Sanders vinceranno le primarie del 4 agosto (Michigan e Missouri)?" è "1" a 40%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "2" a 40%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quanti di questi sostenitori di Sanders vinceranno le primarie del 4 agosto (Michigan e Missouri)?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.