Kelly Morrison secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district primary on August 11, 2026, while Republican Tyler Bass advanced from his party's primary. The district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory on November 3. Forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, citing limited Republican infrastructure in the western Twin Cities suburbs. Factors that could narrow the margin include an unexpected national Republican wave, a major candidate-specific development, or sharply reduced Democratic turnout, though the underlying partisan composition constrains prospects for an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMN-03 House Election Winner
MN-03 House Election Winner
$17,231 Vol.
$17,231 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$17,231 Vol.
$17,231 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$7,709 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$9,522 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district primary on August 11, 2026, while Republican Tyler Bass advanced from his party's primary. The district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory on November 3. Forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, citing limited Republican infrastructure in the western Twin Cities suburbs. Factors that could narrow the margin include an unexpected national Republican wave, a major candidate-specific development, or sharply reduced Democratic turnout, though the underlying partisan composition constrains prospects for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$17,231Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district primary on August 11, 2026, while Republican Tyler Bass advanced from his party's primary. The district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory on November 3. Forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, citing limited Republican infrastructure in the western Twin Cities suburbs. Factors that could narrow the margin include an unexpected national Republican wave, a major candidate-specific development, or sharply reduced Democratic turnout, though the underlying partisan composition constrains prospects for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,231Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kelly Morrison secured the Democratic nomination unopposed in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district primary on August 11, 2026, while Republican Tyler Bass advanced from his party's primary. The district's D+11 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles underpin the 93.5% trader consensus for a Democratic victory on November 3. Forecasters classify the race as solid or safe Democratic, citing limited Republican infrastructure in the western Twin Cities suburbs. Factors that could narrow the margin include an unexpected national Republican wave, a major candidate-specific development, or sharply reduced Democratic turnout, though the underlying partisan composition constrains prospects for an upset.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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