Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Garbarino secured 59.8% in 2024 and faces Democrat Patrick Halpin after both primaries were canceled. Garbarino maintains a significant fundraising edge, with over $3.4 million cash on hand compared to Halpin’s roughly $89,000 as of late June 2026. These structural factors—partisan lean, incumbency, and resource disparity—underpin the trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election, with limited recent developments to alter the outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNY-02 House Election Winner
NY-02 House Election Winner
$17,563 Vol.
$17,563 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
14%
$17,563 Vol.
$17,563 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$7,102 Vol.
87%
Democratic Party
$10,461 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Garbarino secured 59.8% in 2024 and faces Democrat Patrick Halpin after both primaries were canceled. Garbarino maintains a significant fundraising edge, with over $3.4 million cash on hand compared to Halpin’s roughly $89,000 as of late June 2026. These structural factors—partisan lean, incumbency, and resource disparity—underpin the trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election, with limited recent developments to alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Volume
$17,563Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Garbarino secured 59.8% in 2024 and faces Democrat Patrick Halpin after both primaries were canceled. Garbarino maintains a significant fundraising edge, with over $3.4 million cash on hand compared to Halpin’s roughly $89,000 as of late June 2026. These structural factors—partisan lean, incumbency, and resource disparity—underpin the trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election, with limited recent developments to alter the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,563Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Andrew Garbarino holds a strong position in New York’s 2nd congressional district, which carries an R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Garbarino secured 59.8% in 2024 and faces Democrat Patrick Halpin after both primaries were canceled. Garbarino maintains a significant fundraising edge, with over $3.4 million cash on hand compared to Halpin’s roughly $89,000 as of late June 2026. These structural factors—partisan lean, incumbency, and resource disparity—underpin the trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election, with limited recent developments to alter the outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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