Oregon’s 3rd congressional district, covering eastern Portland and surrounding areas, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and the incumbent Maxine Dexter’s 67.7 percent margin in 2024. Dexter, who succeeded long-serving Rep. Earl Blumenauer, faces only minor primary opposition on May 19 before the November 3 general election, while no credible Republican candidate has filed. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent probability because the district’s voter registration, past turnout patterns, and lack of competitive opposition create high barriers for any Republican nominee. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or national political shift could narrow the margin, yet historical data and current filing status indicate such reversals remain unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOR-03 House Election Winner
OR-03 House Election Winner
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
3 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$748 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$586 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 3rd congressional district, covering eastern Portland and surrounding areas, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and the incumbent Maxine Dexter’s 67.7 percent margin in 2024. Dexter, who succeeded long-serving Rep. Earl Blumenauer, faces only minor primary opposition on May 19 before the November 3 general election, while no credible Republican candidate has filed. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent probability because the district’s voter registration, past turnout patterns, and lack of competitive opposition create high barriers for any Republican nominee. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or national political shift could narrow the margin, yet historical data and current filing status indicate such reversals remain unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,334Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 3rd congressional district, covering eastern Portland and surrounding areas, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and the incumbent Maxine Dexter’s 67.7 percent margin in 2024. Dexter, who succeeded long-serving Rep. Earl Blumenauer, faces only minor primary opposition on May 19 before the November 3 general election, while no credible Republican candidate has filed. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent probability because the district’s voter registration, past turnout patterns, and lack of competitive opposition create high barriers for any Republican nominee. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or national political shift could narrow the margin, yet historical data and current filing status indicate such reversals remain unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$1,334Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 3rd congressional district, covering eastern Portland and surrounding areas, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+24 partisan voting index and the incumbent Maxine Dexter’s 67.7 percent margin in 2024. Dexter, who succeeded long-serving Rep. Earl Blumenauer, faces only minor primary opposition on May 19 before the November 3 general election, while no credible Republican candidate has filed. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 93.5 percent probability because the district’s voter registration, past turnout patterns, and lack of competitive opposition create high barriers for any Republican nominee. A late scandal, unusually low Democratic turnout, or national political shift could narrow the margin, yet historical data and current filing status indicate such reversals remain unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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