Recent US indictments charging Sinaloa Governor Rubén Rocha Moya with drug trafficking and cartel ties, unsealed on April 29, prompted his request for a temporary 30-day leave of absence approved by state lawmakers on May 2. An interim governor was installed while Rocha denies the allegations and vows to defend himself through Mexican institutions. No permanent resignation, removal proceedings, or formal ouster has advanced in the subsequent weeks, even after additional arrests of his allies on May 15. With the leave period set to conclude around May 31 and no further official actions announced, trader consensus reflected in the 61.6% probability for “No” aligns with expectations that Rocha will retain his position or return promptly once the temporary absence ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$421,125 Vol.
$421,125 Vol.
31 mag 2026
Sì
$421,125 Vol.
$421,125 Vol.
31 mag 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent US indictments charging Sinaloa Governor Rubén Rocha Moya with drug trafficking and cartel ties, unsealed on April 29, prompted his request for a temporary 30-day leave of absence approved by state lawmakers on May 2. An interim governor was installed while Rocha denies the allegations and vows to defend himself through Mexican institutions. No permanent resignation, removal proceedings, or formal ouster has advanced in the subsequent weeks, even after additional arrests of his allies on May 15. With the leave period set to conclude around May 31 and no further official actions announced, trader consensus reflected in the 61.6% probability for “No” aligns with expectations that Rocha will retain his position or return promptly once the temporary absence ends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Volume
$421,125Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent US indictments charging Sinaloa Governor Rubén Rocha Moya with drug trafficking and cartel ties, unsealed on April 29, prompted his request for a temporary 30-day leave of absence approved by state lawmakers on May 2. An interim governor was installed while Rocha denies the allegations and vows to defend himself through Mexican institutions. No permanent resignation, removal proceedings, or formal ouster has advanced in the subsequent weeks, even after additional arrests of his allies on May 15. With the leave period set to conclude around May 31 and no further official actions announced, trader consensus reflected in the 61.6% probability for “No” aligns with expectations that Rocha will retain his position or return promptly once the temporary absence ends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Rocha Moya ceases to be the Governor of Sinaloa for any period of time between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Rocha Moya’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Rocha Moya and the governments of Mexico and Sinaloa; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$421,125Data di fine
31 mag 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US indictments charging Sinaloa Governor Rubén Rocha Moya with drug trafficking and cartel ties, unsealed on April 29, prompted his request for a temporary 30-day leave of absence approved by state lawmakers on May 2. An interim governor was installed while Rocha denies the allegations and vows to defend himself through Mexican institutions. No permanent resignation, removal proceedings, or formal ouster has advanced in the subsequent weeks, even after additional arrests of his allies on May 15. With the leave period set to conclude around May 31 and no further official actions announced, trader consensus reflected in the 61.6% probability for “No” aligns with expectations that Rocha will retain his position or return promptly once the temporary absence ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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