Open seat in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District after incumbent Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid has solidified trader consensus on Republican victory at 68%, aligning with the district's R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP general election wins by 7-9 points, including Mace's 58% in 2024. Recent April 17 GOP forum straw poll showed Mark Smith leading at 34% among attendees, edging Alex Pelbath, amid a crowded 12-candidate Republican primary field featuring Jay Byars, Jenny Honeycutt, and Sam McCown as fundraising standouts. Democrats face their own fragmented eight-way primary, with forecasters rating the race Solid Republican ahead of June 9 primaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera SC-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera SC-01
$36,515 Vol.
$36,515 Vol.
Partito Repubblicano
69%
Partito Democratico
31%
$36,515 Vol.
$36,515 Vol.
Partito Repubblicano
69%
Partito Democratico
31%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Open seat in South Carolina's 1st Congressional District after incumbent Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid has solidified trader consensus on Republican victory at 68%, aligning with the district's R+6 Cook Partisan Voter Index and history of GOP general election wins by 7-9 points, including Mace's 58% in 2024. Recent April 17 GOP forum straw poll showed Mark Smith leading at 34% among attendees, edging Alex Pelbath, amid a crowded 12-candidate Republican primary field featuring Jay Byars, Jenny Honeycutt, and Sam McCown as fundraising standouts. Democrats face their own fragmented eight-way primary, with forecasters rating the race Solid Republican ahead of June 9 primaries.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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