**Strong third-weekend hold positions "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" squarely in the 70-72m range.** The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed MCU entry, which opened to a record $360m domestic in late July, delivered a $70m third weekend—second-best ever—with a -51% drop and a $785.8m domestic cume through Sunday. This performance reflects sustained audience interest in Tom Holland’s Peter Parker storyline, favorable word-of-mouth, and limited direct competition, allowing the film to outperform earlier tracking forecasts of $45-52m. Traders have coalesced around the narrow 70-72m band as the most probable outcome given the actual Friday-Sunday results now in, while the slim probabilities on adjacent buckets reflect the low likelihood of meaningful variance once final audited figures lock. Upcoming chart updates and any minor adjustments to theater counts remain the only near-term variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3° Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3° Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
70-72m 88.9%
72 milioni+ 8.5%
68-70m 4.3%
<66m <1%
$60,554 Vol.
$60,554 Vol.
16 ago 2026
<66m
<1%
66-68m
<1%
68-70m
4%
70-72m
89%
72 milioni+
9%
70-72m 88.9%
72 milioni+ 8.5%
68-70m 4.3%
<66m <1%
$60,554 Vol.
$60,554 Vol.
16 ago 2026
<66m
$9,257 Vol.
<1%
66-68m
$7,532 Vol.
<1%
68-70m
$14,721 Vol.
4%
70-72m
$7,200 Vol.
89%
72 milioni+
$21,843 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong third-weekend hold positions "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" squarely in the 70-72m range.**
The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed MCU entry, which opened to a record $360m domestic in late July, delivered a $70m third weekend—second-best ever—with a -51% drop and a $785.8m domestic cume through Sunday. This performance reflects sustained audience interest in Tom Holland’s Peter Parker storyline, favorable word-of-mouth, and limited direct competition, allowing the film to outperform earlier tracking forecasts of $45-52m. Traders have coalesced around the narrow 70-72m band as the most probable outcome given the actual Friday-Sunday results now in, while the slim probabilities on adjacent buckets reflect the low likelihood of meaningful variance once final audited figures lock. Upcoming chart updates and any minor adjustments to theater counts remain the only near-term variables.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$60,554Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong third-weekend hold positions "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" squarely in the 70-72m range.**
The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed MCU entry, which opened to a record $360m domestic in late July, delivered a $70m third weekend—second-best ever—with a -51% drop and a $785.8m domestic cume through Sunday. This performance reflects sustained audience interest in Tom Holland’s Peter Parker storyline, favorable word-of-mouth, and limited direct competition, allowing the film to outperform earlier tracking forecasts of $45-52m. Traders have coalesced around the narrow 70-72m band as the most probable outcome given the actual Friday-Sunday results now in, while the slim probabilities on adjacent buckets reflect the low likelihood of meaningful variance once final audited figures lock. Upcoming chart updates and any minor adjustments to theater counts remain the only near-term variables.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$60,554Data di fine
16 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Strong third-weekend hold positions "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" squarely in the 70-72m range.** The Destin Daniel Cretton-directed MCU entry, which opened to a record $360m domestic in late July, delivered a $70m third weekend—second-best ever—with a -51% drop and a $785.8m domestic cume through Sunday. This performance reflects sustained audience interest in Tom Holland’s Peter Parker storyline, favorable word-of-mouth, and limited direct competition, allowing the film to outperform earlier tracking forecasts of $45-52m. Traders have coalesced around the narrow 70-72m band as the most probable outcome given the actual Friday-Sunday results now in, while the slim probabilities on adjacent buckets reflect the low likelihood of meaningful variance once final audited figures lock. Upcoming chart updates and any minor adjustments to theater counts remain the only near-term variables.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
L'incasso del terzo weekend di "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" sarà inferiore a 72 milioni?
94%
Sì
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?
65%
L'incasso totale nazionale di Spider-Man: Brand New Day sarà compreso tra 800 e 900 milioni entro il 31 agosto?
63%
Sì
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti