Strong presales, record-breaking international tracking, and analyst consensus around a $260–280 million domestic opening weekend are anchoring trader sentiment for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opening day in the $162–177 million range. The Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton and released July 31, benefits from massive global anticipation following No Way Home, with previews already delivering standout numbers and projections climbing in the final days before release. Sony’s conservative $195 million domestic estimate contrasts with bullish forecasts exceeding $300 million, reflecting broad audience appeal that counters recent superhero fatigue. Key swing factors include exact Friday performance, competition from other releases, and word-of-mouth momentum heading into the full weekend. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with strong female under-25 turnout and international footprints support the tightly clustered mid-range buckets as the most probable outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Giorno di apertura al botteghino (scioperi più alti)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Giorno di apertura al botteghino (scioperi più alti)
167-172 milioni 65%
162-167 milioni 55%
172-177 milioni 51%
152-157 milioni 48%
$110 Vol.
$110 Vol.
31 lug 2026
<152 milioni
3%
152-157 milioni
48%
157-162 milioni
12%
162-167 milioni
55%
167-172 milioni
65%
172-177 milioni
51%
177-182 milioni
11%
182 milioni+
11%
167-172 milioni 65%
162-167 milioni 55%
172-177 milioni 51%
152-157 milioni 48%
$110 Vol.
$110 Vol.
31 lug 2026
<152 milioni
$10 Vol.
3%
152-157 milioni
$0 Vol.
48%
157-162 milioni
$0 Vol.
12%
162-167 milioni
$100 Vol.
55%
167-172 milioni
$0 Vol.
65%
172-177 milioni
$0 Vol.
51%
177-182 milioni
$0 Vol.
11%
182 milioni+
$0 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong presales, record-breaking international tracking, and analyst consensus around a $260–280 million domestic opening weekend are anchoring trader sentiment for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opening day in the $162–177 million range. The Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton and released July 31, benefits from massive global anticipation following No Way Home, with previews already delivering standout numbers and projections climbing in the final days before release. Sony’s conservative $195 million domestic estimate contrasts with bullish forecasts exceeding $300 million, reflecting broad audience appeal that counters recent superhero fatigue. Key swing factors include exact Friday performance, competition from other releases, and word-of-mouth momentum heading into the full weekend. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with strong female under-25 turnout and international footprints support the tightly clustered mid-range buckets as the most probable outcomes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Volume
$110Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong presales, record-breaking international tracking, and analyst consensus around a $260–280 million domestic opening weekend are anchoring trader sentiment for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opening day in the $162–177 million range. The Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton and released July 31, benefits from massive global anticipation following No Way Home, with previews already delivering standout numbers and projections climbing in the final days before release. Sony’s conservative $195 million domestic estimate contrasts with bullish forecasts exceeding $300 million, reflecting broad audience appeal that counters recent superhero fatigue. Key swing factors include exact Friday performance, competition from other releases, and word-of-mouth momentum heading into the full weekend. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with strong female under-25 turnout and international footprints support the tightly clustered mid-range buckets as the most probable outcomes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Daily Box Office will gross domestically on July 31. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for July 31 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Daily Box Office Performance for July 31 (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$110Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 31, 2026, 11:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong presales, record-breaking international tracking, and analyst consensus around a $260–280 million domestic opening weekend are anchoring trader sentiment for "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" opening day in the $162–177 million range. The Tom Holland–Zendaya vehicle, directed by Destin Daniel Cretton and released July 31, benefits from massive global anticipation following No Way Home, with previews already delivering standout numbers and projections climbing in the final days before release. Sony’s conservative $195 million domestic estimate contrasts with bullish forecasts exceeding $300 million, reflecting broad audience appeal that counters recent superhero fatigue. Key swing factors include exact Friday performance, competition from other releases, and word-of-mouth momentum heading into the full weekend. Historical patterns for MCU tentpoles with strong female under-25 turnout and international footprints support the tightly clustered mid-range buckets as the most probable outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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