Texas’s 23rd congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in the party’s 67 percent market share for the November 2026 general election. Former incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 following a personal scandal, allowing Republican nominee Brandon Herrera to consolidate support after earlier primary challenges. Recent June and July polls show Herrera leading Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout by single digits, consistent with the district’s roughly 15-point Trump margin in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican, and traders have priced these structural advantages alongside limited late-cycle shifts ahead of the November vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-23 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
TX-23 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$35,084 Vol.
$35,084 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
67%
Partito Democratico
34%
$35,084 Vol.
$35,084 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partito Repubblicano
$20,275 Vol.
67%
Partito Democratico
$14,808 Vol.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 23rd congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in the party’s 67 percent market share for the November 2026 general election. Former incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 following a personal scandal, allowing Republican nominee Brandon Herrera to consolidate support after earlier primary challenges. Recent June and July polls show Herrera leading Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout by single digits, consistent with the district’s roughly 15-point Trump margin in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican, and traders have priced these structural advantages alongside limited late-cycle shifts ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$35,084Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas’s 23rd congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in the party’s 67 percent market share for the November 2026 general election. Former incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 following a personal scandal, allowing Republican nominee Brandon Herrera to consolidate support after earlier primary challenges. Recent June and July polls show Herrera leading Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout by single digits, consistent with the district’s roughly 15-point Trump margin in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican, and traders have priced these structural advantages alongside limited late-cycle shifts ahead of the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,084Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas’s 23rd congressional district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in the party’s 67 percent market share for the November 2026 general election. Former incumbent Tony Gonzales resigned in April 2026 following a personal scandal, allowing Republican nominee Brandon Herrera to consolidate support after earlier primary challenges. Recent June and July polls show Herrera leading Democratic nominee Katy Padilla Stout by single digits, consistent with the district’s roughly 15-point Trump margin in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings classify the contest as Likely or Lean Republican, and traders have priced these structural advantages alongside limited late-cycle shifts ahead of the November vote.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti