Washington’s 10th Congressional District has delivered Democratic winners in every election since its creation, and the current market reflects that structural advantage. Incumbent Marilyn Strickland advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 49 percent of the vote to face Republican Chris Chung in November, benefiting from strong fundraising of more than $1.5 million, established name recognition, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s partisan composition and consistent voting patterns limit the Republican path to victory to scenarios such as an unforeseen national shift or a significant late development affecting the incumbent. Traders have priced these low-probability outcomes accordingly, resulting in the wide gap in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWA-10 House Election Winner
WA-10 House Election Winner
$20,482 Vol.
$20,482 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$20,482 Vol.
$20,482 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$12,114 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$8,368 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 10th Congressional District has delivered Democratic winners in every election since its creation, and the current market reflects that structural advantage. Incumbent Marilyn Strickland advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 49 percent of the vote to face Republican Chris Chung in November, benefiting from strong fundraising of more than $1.5 million, established name recognition, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s partisan composition and consistent voting patterns limit the Republican path to victory to scenarios such as an unforeseen national shift or a significant late development affecting the incumbent. Traders have priced these low-probability outcomes accordingly, resulting in the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$20,482Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington’s 10th Congressional District has delivered Democratic winners in every election since its creation, and the current market reflects that structural advantage. Incumbent Marilyn Strickland advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 49 percent of the vote to face Republican Chris Chung in November, benefiting from strong fundraising of more than $1.5 million, established name recognition, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s partisan composition and consistent voting patterns limit the Republican path to victory to scenarios such as an unforeseen national shift or a significant late development affecting the incumbent. Traders have priced these low-probability outcomes accordingly, resulting in the wide gap in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$20,482Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 10th Congressional District has delivered Democratic winners in every election since its creation, and the current market reflects that structural advantage. Incumbent Marilyn Strickland advanced from the August 2026 top-two primary with roughly 49 percent of the vote to face Republican Chris Chung in November, benefiting from strong fundraising of more than $1.5 million, established name recognition, and multiple nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic. The district’s partisan composition and consistent voting patterns limit the Republican path to victory to scenarios such as an unforeseen national shift or a significant late development affecting the incumbent. Traders have priced these low-probability outcomes accordingly, resulting in the wide gap in implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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