Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair, scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, with an accompanying press conference, centers trader attention on his initial policy signals and communication approach. Confirmed by the Senate in May after nomination by President Trump, Warsh has emphasized strategic ambiguity over frequent public commentary and has not committed to post-meeting press conferences after every decision, unlike his predecessor. Markets anticipate no immediate rate change but watch for any shift toward a neutral stance, updates to the dot plot and economic projections, and comments on balance-sheet reduction or future easing. His Senate testimony and early remarks have highlighted a preference for fewer speeches and measured forward guidance, shaping expectations around how he will address inflation, growth, and Fed independence amid ongoing political scrutiny.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$26,713 Vol.
18 giu 2026
Inflation 40+ times
57%
Inflation 50+ times
40%
Inflation 60+ times
25%
Job 15+ times
47%
Jerome / Powell
76%
Trump
19%
Rate / Cut
95%
Money
44%
Good Afternoon
81%
Depression / Recession
45%
Chair
77%
FED
67%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
72%
Crypto / Bitcoin
11%
Balance Sheet
75%
Dual Mandate
54%
Goods Inflation
35%
Stock
38%
I Don't Know
49%
Downside
42%
Trend
43%
Stable / Stability
78%
Job Market
60%
Maximum Employment
80%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
37%
Groupthink / Group Think
32%
Asymmetric
40%
$26,713 Vol.
Inflation 40+ times
$180 Vol.
57%
Inflation 50+ times
$58 Vol.
40%
Inflation 60+ times
$6 Vol.
25%
Job 15+ times
$409 Vol.
47%
Jerome / Powell
$347 Vol.
76%
Trump
$6,692 Vol.
19%
Rate / Cut
$358 Vol.
95%
Money
$556 Vol.
44%
Good Afternoon
$4,611 Vol.
81%
Depression / Recession
$2,101 Vol.
45%
Chair
$807 Vol.
77%
FED
$550 Vol.
67%
Artificial Intelligence / AI
$584 Vol.
72%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$1,162 Vol.
11%
Balance Sheet
$262 Vol.
75%
Dual Mandate
$76 Vol.
54%
Goods Inflation
$1,371 Vol.
35%
Stock
$677 Vol.
38%
I Don't Know
$1,836 Vol.
49%
Downside
$15 Vol.
42%
Trend
$15 Vol.
43%
Stable / Stability
$971 Vol.
78%
Job Market
$561 Vol.
60%
Maximum Employment
$558 Vol.
80%
All-Time High / All-Time Low
$376 Vol.
37%
Groupthink / Group Think
$589 Vol.
32%
Asymmetric
$989 Vol.
40%
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair, scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, with an accompanying press conference, centers trader attention on his initial policy signals and communication approach. Confirmed by the Senate in May after nomination by President Trump, Warsh has emphasized strategic ambiguity over frequent public commentary and has not committed to post-meeting press conferences after every decision, unlike his predecessor. Markets anticipate no immediate rate change but watch for any shift toward a neutral stance, updates to the dot plot and economic projections, and comments on balance-sheet reduction or future easing. His Senate testimony and early remarks have highlighted a preference for fewer speeches and measured forward guidance, shaping expectations around how he will address inflation, growth, and Fed independence amid ongoing political scrutiny.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Mercato aperto: Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Volume
$26,713Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair, scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, with an accompanying press conference, centers trader attention on his initial policy signals and communication approach. Confirmed by the Senate in May after nomination by President Trump, Warsh has emphasized strategic ambiguity over frequent public commentary and has not committed to post-meeting press conferences after every decision, unlike his predecessor. Markets anticipate no immediate rate change but watch for any shift toward a neutral stance, updates to the dot plot and economic projections, and comments on balance-sheet reduction or future easing. His Senate testimony and early remarks have highlighted a preference for fewer speeches and measured forward guidance, shaping expectations around how he will address inflation, growth, and Fed independence amid ongoing political scrutiny.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.
If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.
Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Volume
$26,713Data di fine
18 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Jun 8, 2026, 3:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting as Federal Reserve Chair, scheduled for June 16-17, 2026, with an accompanying press conference, centers trader attention on his initial policy signals and communication approach. Confirmed by the Senate in May after nomination by President Trump, Warsh has emphasized strategic ambiguity over frequent public commentary and has not committed to post-meeting press conferences after every decision, unlike his predecessor. Markets anticipate no immediate rate change but watch for any shift toward a neutral stance, updates to the dot plot and economic projections, and comments on balance-sheet reduction or future easing. His Senate testimony and early remarks have highlighted a preference for fewer speeches and measured forward guidance, shaping expectations around how he will address inflation, growth, and Fed independence amid ongoing political scrutiny.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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