Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus to 99.4% probability of his departure in the May 15–22 window, as the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as his successor on May 13 in a narrow 54-45 vote. Powell announced in late April he would step aside at term's end but remain on the Fed Board of Governors until 2028, aligning with historical precedent where chairs transition upon expiration absent reappointment. President Trump's nomination of Warsh, a former Fed governor, followed months of signaling no Powell renomination amid policy tensions. Rare challenges could include transition delays, legal holds, or unforeseen resignations, though none are indicated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 99.4%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
June 6–12 <1%
$127,968 Vol.
$127,968 Vol.
3 lug 2026
May 15–22
99%
May 23–29
1%
May 30–June 5
1%
June 6–12
<1%
June 13–19
<1%
June 20–26
<1%
June 27–July 3
<1%
After July 3
<1%
May 15–22 99.4%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
June 6–12 <1%
$127,968 Vol.
$127,968 Vol.
3 lug 2026
May 15–22
$32,702 Vol.
99%
May 23–29
$6,654 Vol.
1%
May 30–June 5
$7,308 Vol.
1%
June 6–12
$7,794 Vol.
<1%
June 13–19
$7,748 Vol.
<1%
June 20–26
$9,622 Vol.
<1%
June 27–July 3
$4,372 Vol.
<1%
After July 3
$15,006 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus to 99.4% probability of his departure in the May 15–22 window, as the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as his successor on May 13 in a narrow 54-45 vote. Powell announced in late April he would step aside at term's end but remain on the Fed Board of Governors until 2028, aligning with historical precedent where chairs transition upon expiration absent reappointment. President Trump's nomination of Warsh, a former Fed governor, followed months of signaling no Powell renomination amid policy tensions. Rare challenges could include transition delays, legal holds, or unforeseen resignations, though none are indicated.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$127,968Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus to 99.4% probability of his departure in the May 15–22 window, as the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as his successor on May 13 in a narrow 54-45 vote. Powell announced in late April he would step aside at term's end but remain on the Fed Board of Governors until 2028, aligning with historical precedent where chairs transition upon expiration absent reappointment. President Trump's nomination of Warsh, a former Fed governor, followed months of signaling no Powell renomination amid policy tensions. Rare challenges could include transition delays, legal holds, or unforeseen resignations, though none are indicated.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$127,968Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires today, May 15, driving trader consensus to 99.4% probability of his departure in the May 15–22 window, as the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as his successor on May 13 in a narrow 54-45 vote. Powell announced in late April he would step aside at term's end but remain on the Fed Board of Governors until 2028, aligning with historical precedent where chairs transition upon expiration absent reappointment. President Trump's nomination of Warsh, a former Fed governor, followed months of signaling no Powell renomination amid policy tensions. Rare challenges could include transition delays, legal holds, or unforeseen resignations, though none are indicated.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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