Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve chair concluded on May 15, 2026, marking the scheduled end of his second four-year appointment and prompting his departure from the leadership role. President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as successor earlier in the cycle, and the Senate confirmed Warsh in a 54-45 vote on May 13, setting the stage for an orderly transition. Powell announced in late April that he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period through 2028, citing ongoing legal challenges to the institution, which has influenced assessments of whether any interim leadership changes could occur before the formal handover. The confirmation process and Powell's stated intent to stay on as governor have anchored trader expectations around the May 15 date while highlighting procedural factors such as Senate voting margins and institutional continuity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$166,846 Vol.
May 16
1%
June 30
100%
May 31
94%
$166,846 Vol.
May 16
1%
June 30
100%
May 31
94%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve chair concluded on May 15, 2026, marking the scheduled end of his second four-year appointment and prompting his departure from the leadership role. President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as successor earlier in the cycle, and the Senate confirmed Warsh in a 54-45 vote on May 13, setting the stage for an orderly transition. Powell announced in late April that he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period through 2028, citing ongoing legal challenges to the institution, which has influenced assessments of whether any interim leadership changes could occur before the formal handover. The confirmation process and Powell's stated intent to stay on as governor have anchored trader expectations around the May 15 date while highlighting procedural factors such as Senate voting margins and institutional continuity.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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