Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the immediate window. Recent White House signals on succession planning and the absence of any re-nomination have concentrated implied probabilities in the May 15–22 period above 55 percent, with the following week absorbing most of the balance. This distribution aligns with historical patterns for chair transitions at term end, where the sitting official typically steps down once a successor is confirmed. Senate confirmation timelines for any nominee, along with possible delays in the vetting or voting process, remain the main variables that could shift exact departure timing within or beyond the current resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 55.8%
May 23–29 28.7%
May 30–June 5 5.0%
June 6–12 2.7%
$168,186 Vol.
$168,186 Vol.
3 lug 2026
May 15–22
56%
May 23–29
34%
May 30–June 5
5%
June 6–12
3%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 15–22 55.8%
May 23–29 28.7%
May 30–June 5 5.0%
June 6–12 2.7%
$168,186 Vol.
$168,186 Vol.
3 lug 2026
May 15–22
$64,660 Vol.
56%
May 23–29
$8,345 Vol.
34%
May 30–June 5
$9,137 Vol.
5%
June 6–12
$9,059 Vol.
3%
June 13–19
$8,855 Vol.
2%
June 20–26
$10,068 Vol.
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,200 Vol.
1%
After July 3
$15,911 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the immediate window. Recent White House signals on succession planning and the absence of any re-nomination have concentrated implied probabilities in the May 15–22 period above 55 percent, with the following week absorbing most of the balance. This distribution aligns with historical patterns for chair transitions at term end, where the sitting official typically steps down once a successor is confirmed. Senate confirmation timelines for any nominee, along with possible delays in the vetting or voting process, remain the main variables that could shift exact departure timing within or beyond the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$168,186Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the immediate window. Recent White House signals on succession planning and the absence of any re-nomination have concentrated implied probabilities in the May 15–22 period above 55 percent, with the following week absorbing most of the balance. This distribution aligns with historical patterns for chair transitions at term end, where the sitting official typically steps down once a successor is confirmed. Senate confirmation timelines for any nominee, along with possible delays in the vetting or voting process, remain the main variables that could shift exact departure timing within or beyond the current resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$168,186Data di fine
3 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerome Powell’s four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the immediate window. Recent White House signals on succession planning and the absence of any re-nomination have concentrated implied probabilities in the May 15–22 period above 55 percent, with the following week absorbing most of the balance. This distribution aligns with historical patterns for chair transitions at term end, where the sitting official typically steps down once a successor is confirmed. Senate confirmation timelines for any nominee, along with possible delays in the vetting or voting process, remain the main variables that could shift exact departure timing within or beyond the current resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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